Recent forecasts from agencies monitoring the Pearl River Delta indicate thundery showers and persistent cloud cover through August 25 will limit daytime heating and radiative cooling overnight, positioning minimum temperatures near the 25–26°C historical average for late August. Subtropical humidity and potential tropical moisture influx further stabilize overnight lows, reducing the likelihood of extremes while keeping trader-implied odds highest for readings at or below 23°C amid model uncertainty in precipitation timing. These conditions align with climatological baselines where August minima cluster around 26°C, though any shift in steering patterns or rainfall intensity could alter the outcome before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月25日深圳最低溫度？
8月25日深圳最低溫度？
23°C or below 88%
33°C or higher 48%
30°C 46%
32°C 46%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
23°C or below
88%
24°C
26%
25°C
26%
26°C
27%
27°C
32%
28°C
24%
29°C
24%
30°C
46%
31°C
2%
32°C
46%
33°C or higher
48%
23°C or below 88%
33°C or higher 48%
30°C 46%
32°C 46%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
23°C or below
$5 交易量
88%
24°C
$0 交易量
26%
25°C
$0 交易量
26%
26°C
$0 交易量
27%
27°C
$0 交易量
32%
28°C
$0 交易量
24%
29°C
$0 交易量
24%
30°C
$5 交易量
46%
31°C
$5 交易量
2%
32°C
$5 交易量
46%
33°C or higher
$5 交易量
48%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies monitoring the Pearl River Delta indicate thundery showers and persistent cloud cover through August 25 will limit daytime heating and radiative cooling overnight, positioning minimum temperatures near the 25–26°C historical average for late August. Subtropical humidity and potential tropical moisture influx further stabilize overnight lows, reducing the likelihood of extremes while keeping trader-implied odds highest for readings at or below 23°C amid model uncertainty in precipitation timing. These conditions align with climatological baselines where August minima cluster around 26°C, though any shift in steering patterns or rainfall intensity could alter the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$25結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies monitoring the Pearl River Delta indicate thundery showers and persistent cloud cover through August 25 will limit daytime heating and radiative cooling overnight, positioning minimum temperatures near the 25–26°C historical average for late August. Subtropical humidity and potential tropical moisture influx further stabilize overnight lows, reducing the likelihood of extremes while keeping trader-implied odds highest for readings at or below 23°C amid model uncertainty in precipitation timing. These conditions align with climatological baselines where August minima cluster around 26°C, though any shift in steering patterns or rainfall intensity could alter the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$25結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecasts from agencies monitoring the Pearl River Delta indicate thundery showers and persistent cloud cover through August 25 will limit daytime heating and radiative cooling overnight, positioning minimum temperatures near the 25–26°C historical average for late August. Subtropical humidity and potential tropical moisture influx further stabilize overnight lows, reducing the likelihood of extremes while keeping trader-implied odds highest for readings at or below 23°C amid model uncertainty in precipitation timing. These conditions align with climatological baselines where August minima cluster around 26°C, though any shift in steering patterns or rainfall intensity could alter the outcome before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions