Strong forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models supports the near-certain market-implied probability for a 26°C low in Tel Aviv on September 2. Current observations and guidance from agencies tracking regional conditions show overnight temperatures stabilizing around 25–26°C amid typical late-summer Mediterranean patterns, with light winds, high humidity, and no significant cooling advection expected overnight. Historical September baselines near 22–23°C provide context, yet 2026 conditions remain elevated. A realistic challenge would require an abrupt, unforecasted shift such as a rare cold intrusion or localized measurement variance, though model agreement and stable atmospheric setup make such outcomes improbable before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月2日特拉維夫的最低溫度？
9月2日特拉維夫的最低溫度？
26°C 96.3%
22°C 7.4%
25°C 6.9%
23°C 6.8%
$2,148 交易量
$2,148 交易量
2026-09-02
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
26°C 96.3%
22°C 7.4%
25°C 6.9%
23°C 6.8%
$2,148 交易量
$2,148 交易量
2026-09-02
19°C or below
$115 交易量
No
20°C
$522 交易量
No
21°C
$77 交易量
No
22°C
$47 交易量
No
23°C
$714 交易量
No
24°C
$52 交易量
No
25°C
$269 交易量
No
26°C
$253 交易量
Yes
27°C
$39 交易量
No
28°C
$40 交易量
No
29°C or higher
$20 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models supports the near-certain market-implied probability for a 26°C low in Tel Aviv on September 2. Current observations and guidance from agencies tracking regional conditions show overnight temperatures stabilizing around 25–26°C amid typical late-summer Mediterranean patterns, with light winds, high humidity, and no significant cooling advection expected overnight. Historical September baselines near 22–23°C provide context, yet 2026 conditions remain elevated. A realistic challenge would require an abrupt, unforecasted shift such as a rare cold intrusion or localized measurement variance, though model agreement and stable atmospheric setup make such outcomes improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$2,148結束日期
2026-09-02市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models supports the near-certain market-implied probability for a 26°C low in Tel Aviv on September 2. Current observations and guidance from agencies tracking regional conditions show overnight temperatures stabilizing around 25–26°C amid typical late-summer Mediterranean patterns, with light winds, high humidity, and no significant cooling advection expected overnight. Historical September baselines near 22–23°C provide context, yet 2026 conditions remain elevated. A realistic challenge would require an abrupt, unforecasted shift such as a rare cold intrusion or localized measurement variance, though model agreement and stable atmospheric setup make such outcomes improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,148結束日期
2026-09-02市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Strong forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models supports the near-certain market-implied probability for a 26°C low in Tel Aviv on September 2. Current observations and guidance from agencies tracking regional conditions show overnight temperatures stabilizing around 25–26°C amid typical late-summer Mediterranean patterns, with light winds, high humidity, and no significant cooling advection expected overnight. Historical September baselines near 22–23°C provide context, yet 2026 conditions remain elevated. A realistic challenge would require an abrupt, unforecasted shift such as a rare cold intrusion or localized measurement variance, though model agreement and stable atmospheric setup make such outcomes improbable before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions