**Trader consensus on a 24°C low for Tokyo on August 27, 2026, reflects Japan Meteorological Agency observations and forecasts showing overnight minima holding near that threshold amid persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms.** These conditions, driven by a moist southerly flow and limited radiational cooling, have prevented the sharper overnight drops typical under clearer skies, aligning with model guidance and station data placing the daily minimum around 23–25°C. Historical August averages for Tokyo minima near 23–25°C provide context, though active weather this period has suppressed extremes. Uncertainties remain small but could arise from revised official station readings, localized variations, or timing of any late clearing that allows additional cooling below the threshold before midnight local time.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月27日東京最低溫度？
8月27日東京最低溫度？
24°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$25,125 交易量
$25,125 交易量
2026-08-27
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$25,125 交易量
$25,125 交易量
2026-08-27
21°C or below
$1,778 交易量
No
22°C
$2,153 交易量
No
23°C
$2,224 交易量
No
24°C
$6,733 交易量
Yes
25°C
$1,782 交易量
No
26°C
$3,964 交易量
No
27°C
$4,425 交易量
No
28°C
$832 交易量
No
29°C
$873 交易量
No
30°C
$206 交易量
No
31°C or higher
$156 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on a 24°C low for Tokyo on August 27, 2026, reflects Japan Meteorological Agency observations and forecasts showing overnight minima holding near that threshold amid persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms.**
These conditions, driven by a moist southerly flow and limited radiational cooling, have prevented the sharper overnight drops typical under clearer skies, aligning with model guidance and station data placing the daily minimum around 23–25°C. Historical August averages for Tokyo minima near 23–25°C provide context, though active weather this period has suppressed extremes.
Uncertainties remain small but could arise from revised official station readings, localized variations, or timing of any late clearing that allows additional cooling below the threshold before midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$25,125結束日期
2026-08-27市場開放時間
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on a 24°C low for Tokyo on August 27, 2026, reflects Japan Meteorological Agency observations and forecasts showing overnight minima holding near that threshold amid persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms.**
These conditions, driven by a moist southerly flow and limited radiational cooling, have prevented the sharper overnight drops typical under clearer skies, aligning with model guidance and station data placing the daily minimum around 23–25°C. Historical August averages for Tokyo minima near 23–25°C provide context, though active weather this period has suppressed extremes.
Uncertainties remain small but could arise from revised official station readings, localized variations, or timing of any late clearing that allows additional cooling below the threshold before midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$25,125結束日期
2026-08-27市場開放時間
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
**Trader consensus on a 24°C low for Tokyo on August 27, 2026, reflects Japan Meteorological Agency observations and forecasts showing overnight minima holding near that threshold amid persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms.** These conditions, driven by a moist southerly flow and limited radiational cooling, have prevented the sharper overnight drops typical under clearer skies, aligning with model guidance and station data placing the daily minimum around 23–25°C. Historical August averages for Tokyo minima near 23–25°C provide context, though active weather this period has suppressed extremes. Uncertainties remain small but could arise from revised official station readings, localized variations, or timing of any late clearing that allows additional cooling below the threshold before midnight local time.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions