Official temperature measurements from Environment Canada stations in Toronto established a daily minimum of 14°C on September 15, producing the market's near-certain 99.5% implied probability for that exact outcome. Late-summer atmospheric conditions, including a moderating high-pressure system and minimal overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, aligned with historical climatological norms for mid-September and prevented deeper cooling. Model consensus from the Canadian Meteorological Centre had already converged on this range days earlier. Minor uncertainty remains only from potential post-event data revisions or station-specific anomalies, though such adjustments occur infrequently and rarely exceed 1°C. No further forecast updates apply given the date's passage.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月15日多倫多氣溫最低？
9月15日多倫多氣溫最低？
14°C 100.0%
9°C 1.0%
8°C或以下 <1%
10°C <1%
$1,448 交易量
$1,448 交易量
2026-09-15
8°C或以下
否
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
是
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C或以上
否
14°C 100.0%
9°C 1.0%
8°C或以下 <1%
10°C <1%
$1,448 交易量
$1,448 交易量
2026-09-15
8°C或以下
$16 交易量
否
9°C
$35 交易量
否
10°C
$106 交易量
否
11°C
$86 交易量
否
12°C
$151 交易量
否
13°C
$133 交易量
否
14°C
$512 交易量
是
15°C
$16 交易量
否
16°C
$186 交易量
否
17°C
$191 交易量
否
18°C或以上
$16 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official temperature measurements from Environment Canada stations in Toronto established a daily minimum of 14°C on September 15, producing the market's near-certain 99.5% implied probability for that exact outcome. Late-summer atmospheric conditions, including a moderating high-pressure system and minimal overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, aligned with historical climatological norms for mid-September and prevented deeper cooling. Model consensus from the Canadian Meteorological Centre had already converged on this range days earlier. Minor uncertainty remains only from potential post-event data revisions or station-specific anomalies, though such adjustments occur infrequently and rarely exceed 1°C. No further forecast updates apply given the date's passage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
交易量
$1,448結束日期
2026-09-15市場開放時間
Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official temperature measurements from Environment Canada stations in Toronto established a daily minimum of 14°C on September 15, producing the market's near-certain 99.5% implied probability for that exact outcome. Late-summer atmospheric conditions, including a moderating high-pressure system and minimal overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, aligned with historical climatological norms for mid-September and prevented deeper cooling. Model consensus from the Canadian Meteorological Centre had already converged on this range days earlier. Minor uncertainty remains only from potential post-event data revisions or station-specific anomalies, though such adjustments occur infrequently and rarely exceed 1°C. No further forecast updates apply given the date's passage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,448結束日期
2026-09-15市場開放時間
Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official temperature measurements from Environment Canada stations in Toronto established a daily minimum of 14°C on September 15, producing the market's near-certain 99.5% implied probability for that exact outcome. Late-summer atmospheric conditions, including a moderating high-pressure system and minimal overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, aligned with historical climatological norms for mid-September and prevented deeper cooling. Model consensus from the Canadian Meteorological Centre had already converged on this range days earlier. Minor uncertainty remains only from potential post-event data revisions or station-specific anomalies, though such adjustments occur infrequently and rarely exceed 1°C. No further forecast updates apply given the date's passage.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions