Trader consensus strongly supports a 7°C minimum in Warsaw on September 11, driven by numerical weather prediction model runs showing effective radiative cooling overnight under stable high-pressure conditions with light winds. Official forecasts align with observed surface temperatures near 12°C earlier in the period, transitioning to clearer skies that enhance heat loss from the boundary layer. This positioning reflects the wisdom of crowds incorporating real-time data from surface stations and ensemble guidance. A shift to increased cloud cover or stronger southerly flow could raise the low by several degrees, though current atmospheric patterns make substantial deviation unlikely before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月11日華沙的最低溫度？
9月11日華沙的最低溫度？
7°C 100.0%
5°C或以下 <1%
6°C <1%
8°C <1%
$2,113 交易量
$2,113 交易量
2026-09-11
5°C或以下
否
6°C
否
7°C
是
8°C
否
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C或更高
否
7°C 100.0%
5°C或以下 <1%
6°C <1%
8°C <1%
$2,113 交易量
$2,113 交易量
2026-09-11
5°C或以下
$150 交易量
否
6°C
$269 交易量
否
7°C
$250 交易量
是
8°C
$138 交易量
否
9°C
$1,131 交易量
否
10°C
$40 交易量
否
11°C
$75 交易量
否
12°C
$15 交易量
否
13°C
$15 交易量
否
14°C
$15 交易量
否
15°C或更高
$15 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus strongly supports a 7°C minimum in Warsaw on September 11, driven by numerical weather prediction model runs showing effective radiative cooling overnight under stable high-pressure conditions with light winds. Official forecasts align with observed surface temperatures near 12°C earlier in the period, transitioning to clearer skies that enhance heat loss from the boundary layer. This positioning reflects the wisdom of crowds incorporating real-time data from surface stations and ensemble guidance. A shift to increased cloud cover or stronger southerly flow could raise the low by several degrees, though current atmospheric patterns make substantial deviation unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$2,113結束日期
2026-09-11市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus strongly supports a 7°C minimum in Warsaw on September 11, driven by numerical weather prediction model runs showing effective radiative cooling overnight under stable high-pressure conditions with light winds. Official forecasts align with observed surface temperatures near 12°C earlier in the period, transitioning to clearer skies that enhance heat loss from the boundary layer. This positioning reflects the wisdom of crowds incorporating real-time data from surface stations and ensemble guidance. A shift to increased cloud cover or stronger southerly flow could raise the low by several degrees, though current atmospheric patterns make substantial deviation unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,113結束日期
2026-09-11市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Trader consensus strongly supports a 7°C minimum in Warsaw on September 11, driven by numerical weather prediction model runs showing effective radiative cooling overnight under stable high-pressure conditions with light winds. Official forecasts align with observed surface temperatures near 12°C earlier in the period, transitioning to clearer skies that enhance heat loss from the boundary layer. This positioning reflects the wisdom of crowds incorporating real-time data from surface stations and ensemble guidance. A shift to increased cloud cover or stronger southerly flow could raise the low by several degrees, though current atmospheric patterns make substantial deviation unlikely before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions