The Democratic Party maintains a commanding lead in the NY-12 House race, reflecting the district's entrenched partisan composition across Manhattan neighborhoods with heavy Democratic registration advantages and consistent large-margin victories in prior cycles. Traders have priced this structural edge into the current consensus, as the seat has remained reliably Democratic through multiple election cycles absent major disruptions. Factors sustaining the position include stable voter demographics and limited Republican infrastructure in the area. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unusually strong national Republican wave shifting turnout patterns, a high-profile candidate controversy on the Democratic side, or late-cycle developments altering local momentum before November.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$17,171 交易量
$17,171 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
94%
共和黨
6%
$17,171 交易量
$17,171 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
$14,681 交易量
94%
共和黨
$2,490 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic Party maintains a commanding lead in the NY-12 House race, reflecting the district's entrenched partisan composition across Manhattan neighborhoods with heavy Democratic registration advantages and consistent large-margin victories in prior cycles. Traders have priced this structural edge into the current consensus, as the seat has remained reliably Democratic through multiple election cycles absent major disruptions. Factors sustaining the position include stable voter demographics and limited Republican infrastructure in the area. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unusually strong national Republican wave shifting turnout patterns, a high-profile candidate controversy on the Democratic side, or late-cycle developments altering local momentum before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$17,171結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic Party maintains a commanding lead in the NY-12 House race, reflecting the district's entrenched partisan composition across Manhattan neighborhoods with heavy Democratic registration advantages and consistent large-margin victories in prior cycles. Traders have priced this structural edge into the current consensus, as the seat has remained reliably Democratic through multiple election cycles absent major disruptions. Factors sustaining the position include stable voter demographics and limited Republican infrastructure in the area. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unusually strong national Republican wave shifting turnout patterns, a high-profile candidate controversy on the Democratic side, or late-cycle developments altering local momentum before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$17,171結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic Party maintains a commanding lead in the NY-12 House race, reflecting the district's entrenched partisan composition across Manhattan neighborhoods with heavy Democratic registration advantages and consistent large-margin victories in prior cycles. Traders have priced this structural edge into the current consensus, as the seat has remained reliably Democratic through multiple election cycles absent major disruptions. Factors sustaining the position include stable voter demographics and limited Republican infrastructure in the area. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unusually strong national Republican wave shifting turnout patterns, a high-profile candidate controversy on the Democratic side, or late-cycle developments altering local momentum before November.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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