The open seat created by longtime Republican incumbent Michael McCaul’s retirement has produced a clear primary winner in Chris Gober, who secured the GOP nomination outright with 51 percent in the March 2026 primary. Texas’s 10th District carries a solid Republican lean reflected in its partisan voting index and recent election margins, limiting Democratic nominee Caitlin Rourk’s path despite her primary victory. Trader consensus at 83 percent for the Republican outcome aligns with the district’s consistent preference for GOP candidates in congressional contests and the absence of any late-cycle developments that would shift the balance ahead of the November general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$14,624 交易量
$14,624 交易量
2026-11-03
共和黨
83%
民主黨
17%
$14,624 交易量
$14,624 交易量
2026-11-03
共和黨
$5,772 交易量
83%
民主黨
$8,852 交易量
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat created by longtime Republican incumbent Michael McCaul’s retirement has produced a clear primary winner in Chris Gober, who secured the GOP nomination outright with 51 percent in the March 2026 primary. Texas’s 10th District carries a solid Republican lean reflected in its partisan voting index and recent election margins, limiting Democratic nominee Caitlin Rourk’s path despite her primary victory. Trader consensus at 83 percent for the Republican outcome aligns with the district’s consistent preference for GOP candidates in congressional contests and the absence of any late-cycle developments that would shift the balance ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$14,624結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat created by longtime Republican incumbent Michael McCaul’s retirement has produced a clear primary winner in Chris Gober, who secured the GOP nomination outright with 51 percent in the March 2026 primary. Texas’s 10th District carries a solid Republican lean reflected in its partisan voting index and recent election margins, limiting Democratic nominee Caitlin Rourk’s path despite her primary victory. Trader consensus at 83 percent for the Republican outcome aligns with the district’s consistent preference for GOP candidates in congressional contests and the absence of any late-cycle developments that would shift the balance ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$14,624結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat created by longtime Republican incumbent Michael McCaul’s retirement has produced a clear primary winner in Chris Gober, who secured the GOP nomination outright with 51 percent in the March 2026 primary. Texas’s 10th District carries a solid Republican lean reflected in its partisan voting index and recent election margins, limiting Democratic nominee Caitlin Rourk’s path despite her primary victory. Trader consensus at 83 percent for the Republican outcome aligns with the district’s consistent preference for GOP candidates in congressional contests and the absence of any late-cycle developments that would shift the balance ahead of the November general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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