The Bank of Canada’s decision to hold its policy rate steady at 2.25 percent through the April 29 announcement has anchored trader expectations for no change at the June 10 meeting. Persistent economic slack, with GDP growth projected at just 1.2 percent for 2026 and unemployment near 6.7 percent, continues to outweigh the temporary lift in headline inflation from elevated oil prices tied to Middle East developments. Markets price in a high probability that the central bank will look through these short-term pressures while awaiting clearer signals on labor-market recovery and core inflation trends. A stronger-than-expected May CPI release or evidence of accelerating wage growth could introduce modest volatility, though such shifts would need to materially alter the Bank’s baseline outlook to shift the current consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于No change 96.0%
Increase 2.8%
25 bps decrease 1.4%
50+ bps decrease <1%
$26,453 交易量
$26,453 交易量
2026-06-10
50+ bps decrease
1%
25 bps decrease
1%
No change
96%
Increase
3%
No change 96.0%
Increase 2.8%
25 bps decrease 1.4%
50+ bps decrease <1%
$26,453 交易量
$26,453 交易量
2026-06-10
50+ bps decrease
$4,584 交易量
1%
25 bps decrease
$4,363 交易量
1%
No change
$9,496 交易量
96%
Increase
$8,011 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's June 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The Bank of Canada’s decision to hold its policy rate steady at 2.25 percent through the April 29 announcement has anchored trader expectations for no change at the June 10 meeting. Persistent economic slack, with GDP growth projected at just 1.2 percent for 2026 and unemployment near 6.7 percent, continues to outweigh the temporary lift in headline inflation from elevated oil prices tied to Middle East developments. Markets price in a high probability that the central bank will look through these short-term pressures while awaiting clearer signals on labor-market recovery and core inflation trends. A stronger-than-expected May CPI release or evidence of accelerating wage growth could introduce modest volatility, though such shifts would need to materially alter the Bank’s baseline outlook to shift the current consensus.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's June 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
市场开放时间： Mar 24, 2026, 7:36 PM ET
交易量
$26,453结束日期
2026-06-10市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 7:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's June 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The Bank of Canada’s decision to hold its policy rate steady at 2.25 percent through the April 29 announcement has anchored trader expectations for no change at the June 10 meeting. Persistent economic slack, with GDP growth projected at just 1.2 percent for 2026 and unemployment near 6.7 percent, continues to outweigh the temporary lift in headline inflation from elevated oil prices tied to Middle East developments. Markets price in a high probability that the central bank will look through these short-term pressures while awaiting clearer signals on labor-market recovery and core inflation trends. A stronger-than-expected May CPI release or evidence of accelerating wage growth could introduce modest volatility, though such shifts would need to materially alter the Bank’s baseline outlook to shift the current consensus.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's June 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
交易量
$26,453结束日期
2026-06-10市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 7:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bank of Canada’s decision to hold its policy rate steady at 2.25 percent through the April 29 announcement has anchored trader expectations for no change at the June 10 meeting. Persistent economic slack, with GDP growth projected at just 1.2 percent for 2026 and unemployment near 6.7 percent, continues to outweigh the temporary lift in headline inflation from elevated oil prices tied to Middle East developments. Markets price in a high probability that the central bank will look through these short-term pressures while awaiting clearer signals on labor-market recovery and core inflation trends. A stronger-than-expected May CPI release or evidence of accelerating wage growth could introduce modest volatility, though such shifts would need to materially alter the Bank’s baseline outlook to shift the current consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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