Incumbent Democrat Kevin Mullin holds a commanding position in California's 15th congressional district, a San Mateo County-based seat with a strongly Democratic partisan voting index that has favored the party by wide margins in recent cycles. Mullin secured the nomination after the June 2026 primary and faces Republican Charles Hoelter in the November general election. Trader consensus reflected in the current odds aligns with the district's history of delivering large Democratic majorities and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising data indicating a shift. Potential developments that could narrow the gap include a major scandal, significant health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican performance capable of altering turnout patterns in this low-competition environment.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$121,727 交易量
$121,727 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
95%
共和党
1%
$121,727 交易量
$121,727 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$93,610 交易量
95%
共和党
$28,117 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Kevin Mullin holds a commanding position in California's 15th congressional district, a San Mateo County-based seat with a strongly Democratic partisan voting index that has favored the party by wide margins in recent cycles. Mullin secured the nomination after the June 2026 primary and faces Republican Charles Hoelter in the November general election. Trader consensus reflected in the current odds aligns with the district's history of delivering large Democratic majorities and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising data indicating a shift. Potential developments that could narrow the gap include a major scandal, significant health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican performance capable of altering turnout patterns in this low-competition environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
交易量
$121,727结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Kevin Mullin holds a commanding position in California's 15th congressional district, a San Mateo County-based seat with a strongly Democratic partisan voting index that has favored the party by wide margins in recent cycles. Mullin secured the nomination after the June 2026 primary and faces Republican Charles Hoelter in the November general election. Trader consensus reflected in the current odds aligns with the district's history of delivering large Democratic majorities and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising data indicating a shift. Potential developments that could narrow the gap include a major scandal, significant health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican performance capable of altering turnout patterns in this low-competition environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$121,727结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Kevin Mullin holds a commanding position in California's 15th congressional district, a San Mateo County-based seat with a strongly Democratic partisan voting index that has favored the party by wide margins in recent cycles. Mullin secured the nomination after the June 2026 primary and faces Republican Charles Hoelter in the November general election. Trader consensus reflected in the current odds aligns with the district's history of delivering large Democratic majorities and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising data indicating a shift. Potential developments that could narrow the gap include a major scandal, significant health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican performance capable of altering turnout patterns in this low-competition environment.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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