Redistricting under Proposition 50 has transformed California's 47th congressional district into a solidly Democratic seat that supported Kamala Harris by roughly ten points in the 2024 presidential vote across Orange County areas including Irvine and Laguna Beach. Democratic incumbent Dave Min holds structural advantages through this partisan lean and his prior victory, with nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report classifying the race as solid Democratic ahead of the June primary. These factors sustain the current market consensus for a Democratic outcome. A Republican victory remains possible only in the event of an unforeseen national shift, candidate health issue, or major local scandal that alters voter behavior before November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
93%
共和党
8%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$811 交易量
93%
共和党
$3,119 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting under Proposition 50 has transformed California's 47th congressional district into a solidly Democratic seat that supported Kamala Harris by roughly ten points in the 2024 presidential vote across Orange County areas including Irvine and Laguna Beach. Democratic incumbent Dave Min holds structural advantages through this partisan lean and his prior victory, with nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report classifying the race as solid Democratic ahead of the June primary. These factors sustain the current market consensus for a Democratic outcome. A Republican victory remains possible only in the event of an unforeseen national shift, candidate health issue, or major local scandal that alters voter behavior before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
交易量
$3,930结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting under Proposition 50 has transformed California's 47th congressional district into a solidly Democratic seat that supported Kamala Harris by roughly ten points in the 2024 presidential vote across Orange County areas including Irvine and Laguna Beach. Democratic incumbent Dave Min holds structural advantages through this partisan lean and his prior victory, with nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report classifying the race as solid Democratic ahead of the June primary. These factors sustain the current market consensus for a Democratic outcome. A Republican victory remains possible only in the event of an unforeseen national shift, candidate health issue, or major local scandal that alters voter behavior before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$3,930结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting under Proposition 50 has transformed California's 47th congressional district into a solidly Democratic seat that supported Kamala Harris by roughly ten points in the 2024 presidential vote across Orange County areas including Irvine and Laguna Beach. Democratic incumbent Dave Min holds structural advantages through this partisan lean and his prior victory, with nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report classifying the race as solid Democratic ahead of the June primary. These factors sustain the current market consensus for a Democratic outcome. A Republican victory remains possible only in the event of an unforeseen national shift, candidate health issue, or major local scandal that alters voter behavior before November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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