Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts for Denver on August 16 converge on a high near 82–85°F, with afternoon thunderstorms likely to develop after peak heating and limit further warming. This pattern aligns with the market’s leading bins at 82–83°F and 84–85°F, as scattered convection and associated cloud cover typically cap daytime maxima below seasonal averages around 88°F. Recent model runs show modest spread in timing and intensity of storms, creating the observed probability tilt toward the low-to-mid 80s while keeping higher outcomes under 10 percent. Official observations at Denver International Airport will determine resolution, with any delay in storm initiation or stronger insolation potentially shifting the peak upward.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月16日丹佛的最高温度?
82-83°F 39%
84-85°F 29%
80-81°F 13%
86-87°F 7%
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
13%
82-83°F
39%
84-85°F
29%
86-87°F
7%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
1%
92°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 39%
84-85°F 29%
80-81°F 13%
86-87°F 7%
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
13%
82-83°F
39%
84-85°F
29%
86-87°F
7%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
1%
92°F or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 15, 2026, 4:02 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts for Denver on August 16 converge on a high near 82–85°F, with afternoon thunderstorms likely to develop after peak heating and limit further warming. This pattern aligns with the market’s leading bins at 82–83°F and 84–85°F, as scattered convection and associated cloud cover typically cap daytime maxima below seasonal averages around 88°F. Recent model runs show modest spread in timing and intensity of storms, creating the observed probability tilt toward the low-to-mid 80s while keeping higher outcomes under 10 percent. Official observations at Denver International Airport will determine resolution, with any delay in storm initiation or stronger insolation potentially shifting the peak upward.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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