Current forecasts from meteorological models and agencies project a daytime high of 40–41°C in Jeddah on August 15 under mostly sunny skies with light winds, aligning with the market's near-certain 100% implied probability for 40°C or higher. Jeddah's hot desert climate, driven by intense August solar radiation and minimal cloud cover along the Red Sea coast, produces typical highs of 37–39°C, with recent model consensus pushing values above the threshold due to stable high-pressure patterns. This skin-in-the-game trader consensus reflects verified observational baselines and short-range forecast reliability. An unexpected increase in cloud cover, stronger onshore winds, or station-specific measurement variance could realistically prevent the official high from reaching 40°C, though such shifts remain low-probability given current data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月15日吉达的最高温度？
8月15日吉达的最高温度？
40°C或更高 100.0%
30°C或以下 <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$26,585 交易量
$26,585 交易量
2026-08-15
30°C或以下
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C或更高
100%
40°C或更高 100.0%
30°C或以下 <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$26,585 交易量
$26,585 交易量
2026-08-15
30°C或以下
$362 交易量
<1%
31°C
$372 交易量
<1%
32°C
$372 交易量
<1%
33°C
$264 交易量
<1%
34°C
$208 交易量
<1%
35°C
$220 交易量
<1%
36°C
$1,592 交易量
<1%
37°C
$2,390 交易量
<1%
38°C
$3,312 交易量
<1%
39°C
$3,993 交易量
<1%
40°C或更高
$13,498 交易量
100%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological models and agencies project a daytime high of 40–41°C in Jeddah on August 15 under mostly sunny skies with light winds, aligning with the market's near-certain 100% implied probability for 40°C or higher. Jeddah's hot desert climate, driven by intense August solar radiation and minimal cloud cover along the Red Sea coast, produces typical highs of 37–39°C, with recent model consensus pushing values above the threshold due to stable high-pressure patterns. This skin-in-the-game trader consensus reflects verified observational baselines and short-range forecast reliability. An unexpected increase in cloud cover, stronger onshore winds, or station-specific measurement variance could realistically prevent the official high from reaching 40°C, though such shifts remain low-probability given current data.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$26,585结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological models and agencies project a daytime high of 40–41°C in Jeddah on August 15 under mostly sunny skies with light winds, aligning with the market's near-certain 100% implied probability for 40°C or higher. Jeddah's hot desert climate, driven by intense August solar radiation and minimal cloud cover along the Red Sea coast, produces typical highs of 37–39°C, with recent model consensus pushing values above the threshold due to stable high-pressure patterns. This skin-in-the-game trader consensus reflects verified observational baselines and short-range forecast reliability. An unexpected increase in cloud cover, stronger onshore winds, or station-specific measurement variance could realistically prevent the official high from reaching 40°C, though such shifts remain low-probability given current data.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$26,585结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ETCurrent forecasts from meteorological models and agencies project a daytime high of 40–41°C in Jeddah on August 15 under mostly sunny skies with light winds, aligning with the market's near-certain 100% implied probability for 40°C or higher. Jeddah's hot desert climate, driven by intense August solar radiation and minimal cloud cover along the Red Sea coast, produces typical highs of 37–39°C, with recent model consensus pushing values above the threshold due to stable high-pressure patterns. This skin-in-the-game trader consensus reflects verified observational baselines and short-range forecast reliability. An unexpected increase in cloud cover, stronger onshore winds, or station-specific measurement variance could realistically prevent the official high from reaching 40°C, though such shifts remain low-probability given current data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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