Current forecasts from numerical weather models place Mexico City's August 16 high near the seasonal average of 24–26°C for its high-altitude subtropical highland climate, where afternoon convective showers and elevation typically cap peak readings. Recent runs show consensus around 25–27°C, with 26°C emerging as the modal outcome due to stable atmospheric conditions and no strong warming anomalies. Traders weight official agency guidance and ensemble spreads heavily, as resolution hinges on verified maximum observations rather than models alone; minor shifts in steering patterns or cloud cover could still adjust the final value within the narrow favored band.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月16日墨西哥城气温最高？
8月16日墨西哥城气温最高？
26°C 60%
27°C 22%
25°C 18%
24°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-08-16
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
18%
26°C
60%
27°C
22%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C或更高
<1%
26°C 60%
27°C 22%
25°C 18%
24°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-08-16
21°C或以下
$20 交易量
<1%
22°C
$20 交易量
<1%
23°C
$583 交易量
1%
24°C
$294 交易量
3%
25°C
$997 交易量
18%
26°C
$645 交易量
60%
27°C
$391 交易量
22%
28°C
$294 交易量
2%
29°C
$115 交易量
1%
30°C
$225 交易量
1%
31°C或更高
$335 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from numerical weather models place Mexico City's August 16 high near the seasonal average of 24–26°C for its high-altitude subtropical highland climate, where afternoon convective showers and elevation typically cap peak readings. Recent runs show consensus around 25–27°C, with 26°C emerging as the modal outcome due to stable atmospheric conditions and no strong warming anomalies. Traders weight official agency guidance and ensemble spreads heavily, as resolution hinges on verified maximum observations rather than models alone; minor shifts in steering patterns or cloud cover could still adjust the final value within the narrow favored band.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ET
交易量
$3,919结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from numerical weather models place Mexico City's August 16 high near the seasonal average of 24–26°C for its high-altitude subtropical highland climate, where afternoon convective showers and elevation typically cap peak readings. Recent runs show consensus around 25–27°C, with 26°C emerging as the modal outcome due to stable atmospheric conditions and no strong warming anomalies. Traders weight official agency guidance and ensemble spreads heavily, as resolution hinges on verified maximum observations rather than models alone; minor shifts in steering patterns or cloud cover could still adjust the final value within the narrow favored band.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,919结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ETCurrent forecasts from numerical weather models place Mexico City's August 16 high near the seasonal average of 24–26°C for its high-altitude subtropical highland climate, where afternoon convective showers and elevation typically cap peak readings. Recent runs show consensus around 25–27°C, with 26°C emerging as the modal outcome due to stable atmospheric conditions and no strong warming anomalies. Traders weight official agency guidance and ensemble spreads heavily, as resolution hinges on verified maximum observations rather than models alone; minor shifts in steering patterns or cloud cover could still adjust the final value within the narrow favored band.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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