Official National Weather Service observations confirm a maximum temperature of 93°F at Miami International Airport on August 11 under typical mid-August subtropical conditions, with light easterly flow and moderating sea breezes. This aligns precisely with the market's 100% implied probability for the 92-93°F bin, reflecting trader consensus grounded in real-time model guidance and climatological normals near 89-91°F. The outcome rests on verified instrumental data rather than forecasts. Only an unprecedented revision to official records or station-specific anomalies could alter resolution, though historical precedent shows such adjustments are rare for daily extremes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月11日迈阿密气温最高？
8月11日迈阿密气温最高？
92-93°F 100.0%
81°F或以下 <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$41,102 交易量
$41,102 交易量
2026-08-11
81°F或以下
否
82-83°F
否
84-85°F
否
86-87°F
否
88-89°F
否
90-91°F
否
92-93°F
是
94-95°F
否
96-97°F
否
98-99°F
否
100°F或以上
否
92-93°F 100.0%
81°F或以下 <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$41,102 交易量
$41,102 交易量
2026-08-11
81°F或以下
$382 交易量
否
82-83°F
$588 交易量
否
84-85°F
$985 交易量
否
86-87°F
$506 交易量
否
88-89°F
$1,321 交易量
否
90-91°F
$7,694 交易量
否
92-93°F
$15,735 交易量
是
94-95°F
$6,444 交易量
否
96-97°F
$2,464 交易量
否
98-99°F
$4,180 交易量
否
100°F或以上
$803 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations confirm a maximum temperature of 93°F at Miami International Airport on August 11 under typical mid-August subtropical conditions, with light easterly flow and moderating sea breezes. This aligns precisely with the market's 100% implied probability for the 92-93°F bin, reflecting trader consensus grounded in real-time model guidance and climatological normals near 89-91°F. The outcome rests on verified instrumental data rather than forecasts. Only an unprecedented revision to official records or station-specific anomalies could alter resolution, though historical precedent shows such adjustments are rare for daily extremes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 9, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
交易量
$41,102结束日期
2026-08-11市场开放时间
Aug 9, 2026, 9:04 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations confirm a maximum temperature of 93°F at Miami International Airport on August 11 under typical mid-August subtropical conditions, with light easterly flow and moderating sea breezes. This aligns precisely with the market's 100% implied probability for the 92-93°F bin, reflecting trader consensus grounded in real-time model guidance and climatological normals near 89-91°F. The outcome rests on verified instrumental data rather than forecasts. Only an unprecedented revision to official records or station-specific anomalies could alter resolution, though historical precedent shows such adjustments are rare for daily extremes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$41,102结束日期
2026-08-11市场开放时间
Aug 9, 2026, 9:04 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Official National Weather Service observations confirm a maximum temperature of 93°F at Miami International Airport on August 11 under typical mid-August subtropical conditions, with light easterly flow and moderating sea breezes. This aligns precisely with the market's 100% implied probability for the 92-93°F bin, reflecting trader consensus grounded in real-time model guidance and climatological normals near 89-91°F. The outcome rests on verified instrumental data rather than forecasts. Only an unprecedented revision to official records or station-specific anomalies could alter resolution, though historical precedent shows such adjustments are rare for daily extremes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题