Forecast consensus from the Israel Meteorological Service and Met Office models centers on a 33°C maximum for Tel Aviv on August 15 under typical mid-August Mediterranean conditions of abundant sunshine, light westerly flow, and seasonal temperatures without extreme heat advection. This aligns with climatological baselines showing daily highs near 30–33°C and supports the market-implied odds heavily favoring 33°C as the peak observation. Minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, local sea-breeze effects, or brief cloud increases could allow the actual high to register 32°C or 34°C, though recent model runs show limited spread and no major shifts in atmospheric patterns.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月15日特拉维夫的最高温度？
8月15日特拉维夫的最高温度？
33°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$30,519 交易量
$30,519 交易量
2026-08-15
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
33°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$30,519 交易量
$30,519 交易量
2026-08-15
30°C or below
$488 交易量
<1%
31°C
$1,923 交易量
<1%
32°C
$5,104 交易量
<1%
33°C
$12,041 交易量
100%
34°C
$4,459 交易量
<1%
35°C
$2,309 交易量
<1%
36°C
$1,163 交易量
<1%
37°C
$1,167 交易量
<1%
38°C
$945 交易量
<1%
39°C
$288 交易量
<1%
40°C or higher
$666 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from the Israel Meteorological Service and Met Office models centers on a 33°C maximum for Tel Aviv on August 15 under typical mid-August Mediterranean conditions of abundant sunshine, light westerly flow, and seasonal temperatures without extreme heat advection. This aligns with climatological baselines showing daily highs near 30–33°C and supports the market-implied odds heavily favoring 33°C as the peak observation. Minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, local sea-breeze effects, or brief cloud increases could allow the actual high to register 32°C or 34°C, though recent model runs show limited spread and no major shifts in atmospheric patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$30,519结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from the Israel Meteorological Service and Met Office models centers on a 33°C maximum for Tel Aviv on August 15 under typical mid-August Mediterranean conditions of abundant sunshine, light westerly flow, and seasonal temperatures without extreme heat advection. This aligns with climatological baselines showing daily highs near 30–33°C and supports the market-implied odds heavily favoring 33°C as the peak observation. Minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, local sea-breeze effects, or brief cloud increases could allow the actual high to register 32°C or 34°C, though recent model runs show limited spread and no major shifts in atmospheric patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$30,519结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from the Israel Meteorological Service and Met Office models centers on a 33°C maximum for Tel Aviv on August 15 under typical mid-August Mediterranean conditions of abundant sunshine, light westerly flow, and seasonal temperatures without extreme heat advection. This aligns with climatological baselines showing daily highs near 30–33°C and supports the market-implied odds heavily favoring 33°C as the peak observation. Minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, local sea-breeze effects, or brief cloud increases could allow the actual high to register 32°C or 34°C, though recent model runs show limited spread and no major shifts in atmospheric patterns.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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