Forecast consensus from the Israel Meteorological Service and models including the Met Office points to a Tel Aviv maximum near 33°C on August 16 under typical mid-August Mediterranean conditions of abundant sunshine, light westerly flow, and moderate sea-breeze moderation that limits extreme heating. This aligns with climatological baselines around 30–32°C while recent runs show no anomalous heat advection or model shifts that would push outcomes higher. The market’s heavy weighting toward 33°C at 72% implied probability, followed by 32°C at 21.5% and 34°C at 8.5%, reflects traders’ assessment of narrow uncertainty in daytime boundary-layer mixing and slight variations in cloud cover or wind. Lower extremes remain near zero absent any cooling signals, with resolution hinging on official daily maximum observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月16日特拉维夫的最高温度？
8月16日特拉维夫的最高温度？
33°C 72%
32°C 24%
34°C 6%
35°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-16
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
24%
33°C
72%
34°C
6%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 72%
32°C 24%
34°C 6%
35°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-16
29°C or below
$915 交易量
<1%
30°C
$987 交易量
<1%
31°C
$463 交易量
<1%
32°C
$1,596 交易量
24%
33°C
$2,316 交易量
72%
34°C
$947 交易量
6%
35°C
$528 交易量
1%
36°C
$516 交易量
<1%
37°C
$502 交易量
<1%
38°C
$456 交易量
<1%
39°C or higher
$441 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from the Israel Meteorological Service and models including the Met Office points to a Tel Aviv maximum near 33°C on August 16 under typical mid-August Mediterranean conditions of abundant sunshine, light westerly flow, and moderate sea-breeze moderation that limits extreme heating. This aligns with climatological baselines around 30–32°C while recent runs show no anomalous heat advection or model shifts that would push outcomes higher. The market’s heavy weighting toward 33°C at 72% implied probability, followed by 32°C at 21.5% and 34°C at 8.5%, reflects traders’ assessment of narrow uncertainty in daytime boundary-layer mixing and slight variations in cloud cover or wind. Lower extremes remain near zero absent any cooling signals, with resolution hinging on official daily maximum observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$9,557结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from the Israel Meteorological Service and models including the Met Office points to a Tel Aviv maximum near 33°C on August 16 under typical mid-August Mediterranean conditions of abundant sunshine, light westerly flow, and moderate sea-breeze moderation that limits extreme heating. This aligns with climatological baselines around 30–32°C while recent runs show no anomalous heat advection or model shifts that would push outcomes higher. The market’s heavy weighting toward 33°C at 72% implied probability, followed by 32°C at 21.5% and 34°C at 8.5%, reflects traders’ assessment of narrow uncertainty in daytime boundary-layer mixing and slight variations in cloud cover or wind. Lower extremes remain near zero absent any cooling signals, with resolution hinging on official daily maximum observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$9,557结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from the Israel Meteorological Service and models including the Met Office points to a Tel Aviv maximum near 33°C on August 16 under typical mid-August Mediterranean conditions of abundant sunshine, light westerly flow, and moderate sea-breeze moderation that limits extreme heating. This aligns with climatological baselines around 30–32°C while recent runs show no anomalous heat advection or model shifts that would push outcomes higher. The market’s heavy weighting toward 33°C at 72% implied probability, followed by 32°C at 21.5% and 34°C at 8.5%, reflects traders’ assessment of narrow uncertainty in daytime boundary-layer mixing and slight variations in cloud cover or wind. Lower extremes remain near zero absent any cooling signals, with resolution hinging on official daily maximum observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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