Recent forecast models from sources including the BBC and extended-range outlooks place Wuhan's June 17 maximum near 33°C, aligning with the market's leading 32–34°C outcomes and reflecting mid-June seasonal warming across central China. This period typically sees daily highs climbing from late-spring averages near 28–30°C toward 31–34°C under strengthening subtropical ridge influence and reduced monsoon rainfall frequency, though scattered convection or variable cloud cover can trim peaks by 1–2°C. Ensemble spreads remain modest at this lead time, with limited downside risk below 31°C and only modest upside potential above 35°C absent a strong heat surge. Updated model runs and official guidance over the next 48 hours will refine steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture that ultimately determine the exact daily maximum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月17日武汉气温最高?
33°C 34%
32°C 20%
34°C 20%
35°C 9.5%
28℃及以下
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
5%
31°C
8%
32°C
25%
33°C
34%
34°C
21%
35°C
10%
36°C
7%
37°C
3%
38°C或更高
1%
33°C 34%
32°C 20%
34°C 20%
35°C 9.5%
28℃及以下
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
5%
31°C
8%
32°C
25%
33°C
34%
34°C
21%
35°C
10%
36°C
7%
37°C
3%
38°C或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast models from sources including the BBC and extended-range outlooks place Wuhan's June 17 maximum near 33°C, aligning with the market's leading 32–34°C outcomes and reflecting mid-June seasonal warming across central China. This period typically sees daily highs climbing from late-spring averages near 28–30°C toward 31–34°C under strengthening subtropical ridge influence and reduced monsoon rainfall frequency, though scattered convection or variable cloud cover can trim peaks by 1–2°C. Ensemble spreads remain modest at this lead time, with limited downside risk below 31°C and only modest upside potential above 35°C absent a strong heat surge. Updated model runs and official guidance over the next 48 hours will refine steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture that ultimately determine the exact daily maximum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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