Recent May CPI data showing 4.2% headline and 2.9% core inflation, combined with the June FOMC's hawkish shift under new Chair Kevin Warsh—including an upwardly revised dot plot median near 3.8% for year-end 2026 and nine participants seeing at least one rate hike—have reinforced expectations for steady policy at the July 28-29 meeting. This alignment around the current 3.50-3.75% funds rate range, amid elevated but contained growth and labor market readings, supports the 66.5% market-implied probability of zero dissents as the consensus view. The 25.5% odds for one dissent reflect lingering hawkish or dovish outliers seen in prior meetings like April's 8-4 split, while lower probabilities for multiple dissents capture the reduced dispersion post-June projections.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于在7月份的美联储会议上有多少人持不同意见？
在7月份的美联储会议上有多少人持不同意见？
0 68%
3 21%
1 19%
2 3.5%
最新
最新
2026-07-29
0
68%
1
19%
2
3%
3
15%
4人或以上
2%
0 68%
3 21%
1 19%
2 3.5%
最新
最新
2026-07-29
0
$500 交易量
68%
1
$273 交易量
19%
2
$241 交易量
3%
3
$255 交易量
15%
4人或以上
$978 交易量
2%
The July Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for July 28-29, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on July 29, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the July Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent May CPI data showing 4.2% headline and 2.9% core inflation, combined with the June FOMC's hawkish shift under new Chair Kevin Warsh—including an upwardly revised dot plot median near 3.8% for year-end 2026 and nine participants seeing at least one rate hike—have reinforced expectations for steady policy at the July 28-29 meeting. This alignment around the current 3.50-3.75% funds rate range, amid elevated but contained growth and labor market readings, supports the 66.5% market-implied probability of zero dissents as the consensus view. The 25.5% odds for one dissent reflect lingering hawkish or dovish outliers seen in prior meetings like April's 8-4 split, while lower probabilities for multiple dissents capture the reduced dispersion post-June projections.
The July Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for July 28-29, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on July 29, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the July Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the July Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： Jun 16, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
交易量
$2,248结束日期
2026-07-29市场开放时间
Jun 16, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The July Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for July 28-29, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on July 29, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the July Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent May CPI data showing 4.2% headline and 2.9% core inflation, combined with the June FOMC's hawkish shift under new Chair Kevin Warsh—including an upwardly revised dot plot median near 3.8% for year-end 2026 and nine participants seeing at least one rate hike—have reinforced expectations for steady policy at the July 28-29 meeting. This alignment around the current 3.50-3.75% funds rate range, amid elevated but contained growth and labor market readings, supports the 66.5% market-implied probability of zero dissents as the consensus view. The 25.5% odds for one dissent reflect lingering hawkish or dovish outliers seen in prior meetings like April's 8-4 split, while lower probabilities for multiple dissents capture the reduced dispersion post-June projections.
The July Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for July 28-29, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on July 29, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the July Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the July Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$2,248结束日期
2026-07-29市场开放时间
Jun 16, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent May CPI data showing 4.2% headline and 2.9% core inflation, combined with the June FOMC's hawkish shift under new Chair Kevin Warsh—including an upwardly revised dot plot median near 3.8% for year-end 2026 and nine participants seeing at least one rate hike—have reinforced expectations for steady policy at the July 28-29 meeting. This alignment around the current 3.50-3.75% funds rate range, amid elevated but contained growth and labor market readings, supports the 66.5% market-implied probability of zero dissents as the consensus view. The 25.5% odds for one dissent reflect lingering hawkish or dovish outliers seen in prior meetings like April's 8-4 split, while lower probabilities for multiple dissents capture the reduced dispersion post-June projections.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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