Recent polling ahead of Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election projects Likud in a narrow 21-24 seat range, with surveys from firms including Midgam, Kantar, and Channel 12 showing fluctuations tied to competition from Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar party and the Bennett-Lapid Together alliance. Trader consensus clustering around the 20-29 seat outcomes reflects persistent coalition vulnerabilities, including disputes over Haredi military exemptions that have eroded support for Netanyahu's bloc, alongside internal Likud primaries and opposition gains that keep bloc totals near or below the 61-seat majority threshold. Late shifts in turnout among centrist or right-wing voters, further defections, or major security developments could widen the range before election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于25-29 35%
20-24 33%
<20 18.8%
30-34 15%
$99,187 交易量
$99,187 交易量
2026-10-27
<20
19%
20-24
33%
25-29
35%
30-34
15%
35+
3%
25-29 35%
20-24 33%
<20 18.8%
30-34 15%
$99,187 交易量
$99,187 交易量
2026-10-27
<20
$33,017 交易量
19%
20-24
$15,417 交易量
33%
25-29
$24,180 交易量
35%
30-34
$18,387 交易量
15%
35+
$8,186 交易量
3%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling ahead of Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election projects Likud in a narrow 21-24 seat range, with surveys from firms including Midgam, Kantar, and Channel 12 showing fluctuations tied to competition from Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar party and the Bennett-Lapid Together alliance. Trader consensus clustering around the 20-29 seat outcomes reflects persistent coalition vulnerabilities, including disputes over Haredi military exemptions that have eroded support for Netanyahu's bloc, alongside internal Likud primaries and opposition gains that keep bloc totals near or below the 61-seat majority threshold. Late shifts in turnout among centrist or right-wing voters, further defections, or major security developments could widen the range before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
市场开放时间： Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
交易量
$99,187结束日期
2026-10-27市场开放时间
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling ahead of Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election projects Likud in a narrow 21-24 seat range, with surveys from firms including Midgam, Kantar, and Channel 12 showing fluctuations tied to competition from Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar party and the Bennett-Lapid Together alliance. Trader consensus clustering around the 20-29 seat outcomes reflects persistent coalition vulnerabilities, including disputes over Haredi military exemptions that have eroded support for Netanyahu's bloc, alongside internal Likud primaries and opposition gains that keep bloc totals near or below the 61-seat majority threshold. Late shifts in turnout among centrist or right-wing voters, further defections, or major security developments could widen the range before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
交易量
$99,187结束日期
2026-10-27市场开放时间
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling ahead of Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election projects Likud in a narrow 21-24 seat range, with surveys from firms including Midgam, Kantar, and Channel 12 showing fluctuations tied to competition from Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar party and the Bennett-Lapid Together alliance. Trader consensus clustering around the 20-29 seat outcomes reflects persistent coalition vulnerabilities, including disputes over Haredi military exemptions that have eroded support for Netanyahu's bloc, alongside internal Likud primaries and opposition gains that keep bloc totals near or below the 61-seat majority threshold. Late shifts in turnout among centrist or right-wing voters, further defections, or major security developments could widen the range before election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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