**Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a nighttime low of 13–15°C in Ankara on August 29, driven by clear-to-partly cloudy skies allowing efficient radiative cooling after daytime heating reaches only 23–26°C.** Northerly winds and Ankara’s ~900 m elevation enhance boundary-layer mixing and heat loss overnight, while scattered showers or increased cloud cover from recent thunderstorm activity could limit the drop to around 14°C by trapping some longwave radiation. Historical late-August baselines show typical minima near 14–16°C, with recent model runs showing slight cooling from earlier hot spells. Traders appear to cluster probabilities around 10–14°C options because small variations in cloud timing or wind speed can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C, creating genuine uncertainty ahead of final overnight observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月29日安卡拉最低气温？
8月29日安卡拉最低气温？
19°C or higher 54%
16°C 49%
12°C 27%
13°C 27%
最新
最新
2026-08-29
9°C or below
2%
10°C
26%
11°C
26%
12°C
27%
13°C
27%
14°C
27%
15°C
25%
16°C
49%
17°C
2%
18°C
8%
19°C or higher
54%
19°C or higher 54%
16°C 49%
12°C 27%
13°C 27%
最新
最新
2026-08-29
9°C or below
$5 交易量
2%
10°C
$0 交易量
26%
11°C
$0 交易量
26%
12°C
$0 交易量
27%
13°C
$0 交易量
27%
14°C
$0 交易量
27%
15°C
$0 交易量
25%
16°C
$10 交易量
49%
17°C
$5 交易量
2%
18°C
$5 交易量
8%
19°C or higher
$5 交易量
54%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a nighttime low of 13–15°C in Ankara on August 29, driven by clear-to-partly cloudy skies allowing efficient radiative cooling after daytime heating reaches only 23–26°C.**
Northerly winds and Ankara’s ~900 m elevation enhance boundary-layer mixing and heat loss overnight, while scattered showers or increased cloud cover from recent thunderstorm activity could limit the drop to around 14°C by trapping some longwave radiation. Historical late-August baselines show typical minima near 14–16°C, with recent model runs showing slight cooling from earlier hot spells. Traders appear to cluster probabilities around 10–14°C options because small variations in cloud timing or wind speed can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C, creating genuine uncertainty ahead of final overnight observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$30结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a nighttime low of 13–15°C in Ankara on August 29, driven by clear-to-partly cloudy skies allowing efficient radiative cooling after daytime heating reaches only 23–26°C.**
Northerly winds and Ankara’s ~900 m elevation enhance boundary-layer mixing and heat loss overnight, while scattered showers or increased cloud cover from recent thunderstorm activity could limit the drop to around 14°C by trapping some longwave radiation. Historical late-August baselines show typical minima near 14–16°C, with recent model runs showing slight cooling from earlier hot spells. Traders appear to cluster probabilities around 10–14°C options because small variations in cloud timing or wind speed can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C, creating genuine uncertainty ahead of final overnight observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$30结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET**Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a nighttime low of 13–15°C in Ankara on August 29, driven by clear-to-partly cloudy skies allowing efficient radiative cooling after daytime heating reaches only 23–26°C.** Northerly winds and Ankara’s ~900 m elevation enhance boundary-layer mixing and heat loss overnight, while scattered showers or increased cloud cover from recent thunderstorm activity could limit the drop to around 14°C by trapping some longwave radiation. Historical late-August baselines show typical minima near 14–16°C, with recent model runs showing slight cooling from earlier hot spells. Traders appear to cluster probabilities around 10–14°C options because small variations in cloud timing or wind speed can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C, creating genuine uncertainty ahead of final overnight observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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