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icon for 6月14日伦敦最低气温?

6月14日伦敦最低气温?

icon for 6月14日伦敦最低气温?

6月14日伦敦最低气温?

13°C 99.3%

12°C <1%

11°C <1%

7°C或更低 <1%

Polymarket

$14,976 交易量

13°C 99.3%

12°C <1%

11°C <1%

7°C或更低 <1%

Polymarket

$14,976 交易量

7°C或更低

$790 交易量

<1%

8°C

$733 交易量

<1%

9°C

$539 交易量

<1%

10°C

$743 交易量

<1%

11°C

$1,864 交易量

<1%

12°C

$1,204 交易量

<1%

13°C

$4,778 交易量

99%

14°C

$1,712 交易量

<1%

15°C

$1,002 交易量

<1%

16°C

$1,026 交易量

<1%

17°C或更高

$585 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus in this market has converged strongly on a 13°C overnight minimum in London for June 14, 2026, reflecting near-certainty from the latest official forecasts.** Met Office guidance and ensemble models indicate generally dry conditions with variable cloud and a minimum nighttime temperature of 13°C across the London region, consistent with typical early-summer nocturnal cooling under moderate north-westerly flow and no significant cold-air advection. This aligns with observed trends where daytime highs reach the low-20s Celsius before radiative cooling overnight stabilizes temperatures in the low-to-mid teens. The dominant positioning rests on high model agreement and limited forecast uncertainty this close to the observation window. A realistic challenge would require an unpredicted shift, such as clearer skies enhancing radiative cooling or a sharper wind change introducing cooler air, pushing the verified low (typically from official London stations) to 12°C or below—scenarios assigned negligible probability by current guidance.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$14,976
结束日期
2026-06-14
市场开放时间
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus in this market has converged strongly on a 13°C overnight minimum in London for June 14, 2026, reflecting near-certainty from the latest official forecasts.** Met Office guidance and ensemble models indicate generally dry conditions with variable cloud and a minimum nighttime temperature of 13°C across the London region, consistent with typical early-summer nocturnal cooling under moderate north-westerly flow and no significant cold-air advection. This aligns with observed trends where daytime highs reach the low-20s Celsius before radiative cooling overnight stabilizes temperatures in the low-to-mid teens. The dominant positioning rests on high model agreement and limited forecast uncertainty this close to the observation window. A realistic challenge would require an unpredicted shift, such as clearer skies enhancing radiative cooling or a sharper wind change introducing cooler air, pushing the verified low (typically from official London stations) to 12°C or below—scenarios assigned negligible probability by current guidance.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$14,976
结束日期
2026-06-14
市场开放时间
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"6月14日伦敦最低气温?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 11 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"13°C",概率为 99%,其次是"7°C或更低",概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 99¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 99%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"6月14日伦敦最低气温?"已产生 $15K 的总交易量(自Jun 12, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"6月14日伦敦最低气温?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 11 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"6月14日伦敦最低气温?"的当前领先者是"13°C",概率为 99%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 99%。紧随其后的结果是"7°C或更低",概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"6月14日伦敦最低气温?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。