**Trader consensus in this market has converged strongly on a 13°C overnight minimum in London for June 14, 2026, reflecting near-certainty from the latest official forecasts.** Met Office guidance and ensemble models indicate generally dry conditions with variable cloud and a minimum nighttime temperature of 13°C across the London region, consistent with typical early-summer nocturnal cooling under moderate north-westerly flow and no significant cold-air advection. This aligns with observed trends where daytime highs reach the low-20s Celsius before radiative cooling overnight stabilizes temperatures in the low-to-mid teens. The dominant positioning rests on high model agreement and limited forecast uncertainty this close to the observation window. A realistic challenge would require an unpredicted shift, such as clearer skies enhancing radiative cooling or a sharper wind change introducing cooler air, pushing the verified low (typically from official London stations) to 12°C or below—scenarios assigned negligible probability by current guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月14日伦敦最低气温?
13°C 99.3%
12°C <1%
11°C <1%
7°C或更低 <1%
$14,976 交易量
$14,976 交易量
7°C或更低
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
99%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C或更高
<1%
13°C 99.3%
12°C <1%
11°C <1%
7°C或更低 <1%
$14,976 交易量
$14,976 交易量
7°C或更低
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
99%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Trader consensus in this market has converged strongly on a 13°C overnight minimum in London for June 14, 2026, reflecting near-certainty from the latest official forecasts.** Met Office guidance and ensemble models indicate generally dry conditions with variable cloud and a minimum nighttime temperature of 13°C across the London region, consistent with typical early-summer nocturnal cooling under moderate north-westerly flow and no significant cold-air advection. This aligns with observed trends where daytime highs reach the low-20s Celsius before radiative cooling overnight stabilizes temperatures in the low-to-mid teens. The dominant positioning rests on high model agreement and limited forecast uncertainty this close to the observation window. A realistic challenge would require an unpredicted shift, such as clearer skies enhancing radiative cooling or a sharper wind change introducing cooler air, pushing the verified low (typically from official London stations) to 12°C or below—scenarios assigned negligible probability by current guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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