Recent forecast models from the Met Office and European ensembles indicate an overnight minimum near 13°C in London on June 14, driven by clear skies, light winds, and moderate radiative cooling under high pressure following a warmer-than-average May. This aligns with climatological June lows averaging 12–14°C and current observations showing daytime highs around 20–22°C. Trader consensus at 99% implied probability for 13°C reflects confidence in these stable conditions, with limited model spread. A shift in cloud cover, stronger winds, or unexpected frontal passage could lower readings toward 12°C or below, though such changes appear unlikely before resolution based on the latest guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月14日伦敦最低气温?
13°C 99.0%
12°C 1.9%
11°C <1%
10°C <1%
$20,929 交易量
$20,929 交易量
7°C或更低
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
2%
13°C
99%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C或更高
<1%
13°C 99.0%
12°C 1.9%
11°C <1%
10°C <1%
$20,929 交易量
$20,929 交易量
7°C或更低
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
2%
13°C
99%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast models from the Met Office and European ensembles indicate an overnight minimum near 13°C in London on June 14, driven by clear skies, light winds, and moderate radiative cooling under high pressure following a warmer-than-average May. This aligns with climatological June lows averaging 12–14°C and current observations showing daytime highs around 20–22°C. Trader consensus at 99% implied probability for 13°C reflects confidence in these stable conditions, with limited model spread. A shift in cloud cover, stronger winds, or unexpected frontal passage could lower readings toward 12°C or below, though such changes appear unlikely before resolution based on the latest guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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