Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity across Luzon drives the closely matched market odds for Manila’s August 29 minimum temperature. Thick cloud cover, widespread thunderstorms, and moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows most likely in the 25–27 °C range according to PAGASA guidance and ensemble model consensus. High humidity and frequent precipitation further suppress temperature drops, while any brief clear spells or lighter wind could allow brief dips toward 24 °C or below. Conversely, persistent overcast and warm advection from the monsoon flow support the non-negligible probability attached to 31 °C or higher if daytime heat lingers into the evening. Updated PAGASA regional outlooks and next model runs will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月29日马尼拉的最低温度？
8月29日马尼拉的最低温度？
31°C或更高 60%
28°C 50%
29°C 50%
25°C 29%
最新
最新
2026-08-29
21°C或以下
8%
22°C
7%
23°C
24%
24°C
28%
25°C
29%
26°C
27%
27°C
27%
28°C
50%
29°C
50%
30°C
2%
31°C或更高
60%
31°C或更高 60%
28°C 50%
29°C 50%
25°C 29%
最新
最新
2026-08-29
21°C或以下
$135 交易量
8%
22°C
$54 交易量
7%
23°C
$34 交易量
24%
24°C
$0 交易量
28%
25°C
$0 交易量
29%
26°C
$0 交易量
27%
27°C
$0 交易量
27%
28°C
$5 交易量
50%
29°C
$5 交易量
50%
30°C
$5 交易量
2%
31°C或更高
$5 交易量
60%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity across Luzon drives the closely matched market odds for Manila’s August 29 minimum temperature. Thick cloud cover, widespread thunderstorms, and moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows most likely in the 25–27 °C range according to PAGASA guidance and ensemble model consensus. High humidity and frequent precipitation further suppress temperature drops, while any brief clear spells or lighter wind could allow brief dips toward 24 °C or below. Conversely, persistent overcast and warm advection from the monsoon flow support the non-negligible probability attached to 31 °C or higher if daytime heat lingers into the evening. Updated PAGASA regional outlooks and next model runs will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 27, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
交易量
$243结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 12:32 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity across Luzon drives the closely matched market odds for Manila’s August 29 minimum temperature. Thick cloud cover, widespread thunderstorms, and moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows most likely in the 25–27 °C range according to PAGASA guidance and ensemble model consensus. High humidity and frequent precipitation further suppress temperature drops, while any brief clear spells or lighter wind could allow brief dips toward 24 °C or below. Conversely, persistent overcast and warm advection from the monsoon flow support the non-negligible probability attached to 31 °C or higher if daytime heat lingers into the evening. Updated PAGASA regional outlooks and next model runs will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$243结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 12:32 AM ETPersistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity across Luzon drives the closely matched market odds for Manila’s August 29 minimum temperature. Thick cloud cover, widespread thunderstorms, and moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows most likely in the 25–27 °C range according to PAGASA guidance and ensemble model consensus. High humidity and frequent precipitation further suppress temperature drops, while any brief clear spells or lighter wind could allow brief dips toward 24 °C or below. Conversely, persistent overcast and warm advection from the monsoon flow support the non-negligible probability attached to 31 °C or higher if daytime heat lingers into the evening. Updated PAGASA regional outlooks and next model runs will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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