Trader consensus heavily favors AfD as the winner of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern's Landtagswahl on September 20, driven by the latest Infratest dimap poll for NDR released May 13 showing AfD at 36%—up 1 point—with a 9-point lead over SPD's 27%, despite the governing party's 2-point gain. CDU slumped to 10% (-3 points), falling behind Die Linke at 13%, while BSW holds 5% and Grüne 4%. AfD's sustained double-digit edge in Sonntagsfragen over the past month reflects eastern Germany's protest dynamics against the SPD-led red-red-green minority coalition, though SPD momentum and potential coalition negotiations could narrow the gap further before election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于AfD 88%
社民党 13%
基民盟 <1%
格鲁内党 <1%
$211,156 交易量
$211,156 交易量
2026-09-20
AfD
88%
社民党
13%
基民盟
1%
格鲁内党
<1%
自民党
<1%
BSW
<1%
左翼党
<1%
FW
<1%
AfD 88%
社民党 13%
基民盟 <1%
格鲁内党 <1%
$211,156 交易量
$211,156 交易量
2026-09-20
AfD
$7,054 交易量
88%
社民党
$35,937 交易量
13%
基民盟
$27,794 交易量
1%
格鲁内党
$52,594 交易量
<1%
自民党
$48,058 交易量
<1%
BSW
$11,745 交易量
<1%
左翼党
$8,260 交易量
<1%
FW
$19,714 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Trader consensus heavily favors AfD as the winner of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern's Landtagswahl on September 20, driven by the latest Infratest dimap poll for NDR released May 13 showing AfD at 36%—up 1 point—with a 9-point lead over SPD's 27%, despite the governing party's 2-point gain. CDU slumped to 10% (-3 points), falling behind Die Linke at 13%, while BSW holds 5% and Grüne 4%. AfD's sustained double-digit edge in Sonntagsfragen over the past month reflects eastern Germany's protest dynamics against the SPD-led red-red-green minority coalition, though SPD momentum and potential coalition negotiations could narrow the gap further before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
市场开放时间： Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
交易量
$211,156结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Trader consensus heavily favors AfD as the winner of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern's Landtagswahl on September 20, driven by the latest Infratest dimap poll for NDR released May 13 showing AfD at 36%—up 1 point—with a 9-point lead over SPD's 27%, despite the governing party's 2-point gain. CDU slumped to 10% (-3 points), falling behind Die Linke at 13%, while BSW holds 5% and Grüne 4%. AfD's sustained double-digit edge in Sonntagsfragen over the past month reflects eastern Germany's protest dynamics against the SPD-led red-red-green minority coalition, though SPD momentum and potential coalition negotiations could narrow the gap further before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
交易量
$211,156结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors AfD as the winner of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern's Landtagswahl on September 20, driven by the latest Infratest dimap poll for NDR released May 13 showing AfD at 36%—up 1 point—with a 9-point lead over SPD's 27%, despite the governing party's 2-point gain. CDU slumped to 10% (-3 points), falling behind Die Linke at 13%, while BSW holds 5% and Grüne 4%. AfD's sustained double-digit edge in Sonntagsfragen over the past month reflects eastern Germany's protest dynamics against the SPD-led red-red-green minority coalition, though SPD momentum and potential coalition negotiations could narrow the gap further before election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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