AfD maintains a clear lead in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag polling at 34–38 percent, well ahead of the incumbent SPD at 23–27 percent and the CDU further back, according to recent surveys from Infratest dimap, INSA, and Forsa. This positioning three months before the September 20, 2026 election underpins the market's assessment of AfD as the likely plurality winner. The party's strength reflects broader eastern German trends and voter shifts away from the long-governing SPD-Left coalition. Other parties remain fragmented with low single-digit support, reducing prospects for alternative majorities. No major late shifts have altered these patterns in recent weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于AfD 82%
社民党 19%
基民盟 <1%
左翼党 <1%
$276,590 交易量
$276,590 交易量

AfD
82%

社民党
19%

基民盟
1%

左翼党
<1%

格鲁内党
<1%

自民党
<1%

FW
<1%

BSW
<1%
AfD 82%
社民党 19%
基民盟 <1%
左翼党 <1%
$276,590 交易量
$276,590 交易量

AfD
82%

社民党
19%

基民盟
1%

左翼党
<1%

格鲁内党
<1%

自民党
<1%

FW
<1%

BSW
<1%
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
市场开放时间: Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...AfD maintains a clear lead in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag polling at 34–38 percent, well ahead of the incumbent SPD at 23–27 percent and the CDU further back, according to recent surveys from Infratest dimap, INSA, and Forsa. This positioning three months before the September 20, 2026 election underpins the market's assessment of AfD as the likely plurality winner. The party's strength reflects broader eastern German trends and voter shifts away from the long-governing SPD-Left coalition. Other parties remain fragmented with low single-digit support, reducing prospects for alternative majorities. No major late shifts have altered these patterns in recent weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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