Oklahoma's 1st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat with an R+11 partisan voting index, rated Safe or Solid Republican by major forecasters. The open seat, created after incumbent Kevin Hern launched a Senate bid, drew a crowded Republican primary on June 16 that advanced state Rep. Mark Tedford and pastor Jackson Lahmeyer to an August 25 runoff; Lahmeyer subsequently withdrew following reports of inappropriate text messages. Democrat John Croisant advanced unopposed after the party's primary was canceled. Traders price the Republican nominee as the heavy favorite for the November 3 general election given the district's consistent GOP performance, limited Democratic infrastructure, and absence of competitive challengers or late-cycle developments that could alter the balance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$19,206 交易量
$19,206 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
93%
民主党
9%
$19,206 交易量
$19,206 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$8,353 交易量
93%
民主党
$10,853 交易量
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oklahoma's 1st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat with an R+11 partisan voting index, rated Safe or Solid Republican by major forecasters. The open seat, created after incumbent Kevin Hern launched a Senate bid, drew a crowded Republican primary on June 16 that advanced state Rep. Mark Tedford and pastor Jackson Lahmeyer to an August 25 runoff; Lahmeyer subsequently withdrew following reports of inappropriate text messages. Democrat John Croisant advanced unopposed after the party's primary was canceled. Traders price the Republican nominee as the heavy favorite for the November 3 general election given the district's consistent GOP performance, limited Democratic infrastructure, and absence of competitive challengers or late-cycle developments that could alter the balance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$19,206结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oklahoma's 1st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat with an R+11 partisan voting index, rated Safe or Solid Republican by major forecasters. The open seat, created after incumbent Kevin Hern launched a Senate bid, drew a crowded Republican primary on June 16 that advanced state Rep. Mark Tedford and pastor Jackson Lahmeyer to an August 25 runoff; Lahmeyer subsequently withdrew following reports of inappropriate text messages. Democrat John Croisant advanced unopposed after the party's primary was canceled. Traders price the Republican nominee as the heavy favorite for the November 3 general election given the district's consistent GOP performance, limited Democratic infrastructure, and absence of competitive challengers or late-cycle developments that could alter the balance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$19,206结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oklahoma's 1st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat with an R+11 partisan voting index, rated Safe or Solid Republican by major forecasters. The open seat, created after incumbent Kevin Hern launched a Senate bid, drew a crowded Republican primary on June 16 that advanced state Rep. Mark Tedford and pastor Jackson Lahmeyer to an August 25 runoff; Lahmeyer subsequently withdrew following reports of inappropriate text messages. Democrat John Croisant advanced unopposed after the party's primary was canceled. Traders price the Republican nominee as the heavy favorite for the November 3 general election given the district's consistent GOP performance, limited Democratic infrastructure, and absence of competitive challengers or late-cycle developments that could alter the balance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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