Incumbent Republican Rob Wittman faces Democrat Shannon Taylor in the November 3 general election for Virginia’s 1st congressional district. The race remains tight due to the district’s modest Republican lean, recent leftward demographic shifts in areas like Henrico County, and Wittman’s record of outperforming the partisan baseline in prior cycles. Taylor secured the Democratic nomination on August 4 after a multi-candidate primary, positioning her as a prosecutor-focused challenger in a contest where fundraising edges favor the incumbent. National midterm dynamics and voter turnout in swing precincts could widen the gap, while redistricting stability following earlier court rulings limits structural changes before Election Day. Trader consensus reflects this balance of incumbency strength against the district’s evolving composition.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$22,300 交易量
$22,300 交易量
2026-11-04
民主党
55%
共和党
46%
$22,300 交易量
$22,300 交易量
2026-11-04
民主党
$18,621 交易量
55%
共和党
$3,679 交易量
46%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rob Wittman faces Democrat Shannon Taylor in the November 3 general election for Virginia’s 1st congressional district. The race remains tight due to the district’s modest Republican lean, recent leftward demographic shifts in areas like Henrico County, and Wittman’s record of outperforming the partisan baseline in prior cycles. Taylor secured the Democratic nomination on August 4 after a multi-candidate primary, positioning her as a prosecutor-focused challenger in a contest where fundraising edges favor the incumbent. National midterm dynamics and voter turnout in swing precincts could widen the gap, while redistricting stability following earlier court rulings limits structural changes before Election Day. Trader consensus reflects this balance of incumbency strength against the district’s evolving composition.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
交易量
$22,300结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rob Wittman faces Democrat Shannon Taylor in the November 3 general election for Virginia’s 1st congressional district. The race remains tight due to the district’s modest Republican lean, recent leftward demographic shifts in areas like Henrico County, and Wittman’s record of outperforming the partisan baseline in prior cycles. Taylor secured the Democratic nomination on August 4 after a multi-candidate primary, positioning her as a prosecutor-focused challenger in a contest where fundraising edges favor the incumbent. National midterm dynamics and voter turnout in swing precincts could widen the gap, while redistricting stability following earlier court rulings limits structural changes before Election Day. Trader consensus reflects this balance of incumbency strength against the district’s evolving composition.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$22,300结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Rob Wittman faces Democrat Shannon Taylor in the November 3 general election for Virginia’s 1st congressional district. The race remains tight due to the district’s modest Republican lean, recent leftward demographic shifts in areas like Henrico County, and Wittman’s record of outperforming the partisan baseline in prior cycles. Taylor secured the Democratic nomination on August 4 after a multi-candidate primary, positioning her as a prosecutor-focused challenger in a contest where fundraising edges favor the incumbent. National midterm dynamics and voter turnout in swing precincts could widen the gap, while redistricting stability following earlier court rulings limits structural changes before Election Day. Trader consensus reflects this balance of incumbency strength against the district’s evolving composition.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题