Savo Minić leads the Republika Srpska presidential race with trader consensus at 60 percent, reflecting the ruling SNSD's organizational strength and unified coalition backing announced in June 2026. As prime minister since 2025 and the party's nominee with endorsements from partners including United Srpska and the Socialist Party, Minić benefits from incumbency advantages in a Serb-majority entity where the SNSD has historically dominated assembly seats. Branko Blanuša of the opposition SDS sits at 36 percent, consistent with the party's position as the main challenger but limited by narrower polling support ahead of the October 4, 2026, vote. Lower-priced candidates such as Ćamil Duraković, Jusuf Arifagić, and others represent Bosniak and Croat vice-presidential contenders or minor Serb entrants, with "Other" priced at 50 percent amid the fragmented field. No major late-campaign shifts have altered the positioning in recent weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于萨沃·米尼奇 60%
布兰科·布拉努沙 36%
Ćamil Duraković 3.3%
贝吉娅·斯马伊奇 3.3%
萨沃·米尼奇
60%
布兰科·布拉努沙
36%
Ćamil Duraković
3%
贝吉娅·斯马伊奇
3%
尤苏夫·阿里法吉奇
3%
伊沃·卡梅尼亚舍维奇
1%
弗兰约·尤基奇
<1%
博格丹·约瓦诺维奇
<1%
拉米兹·萨尔基奇
<1%
伊万·贝吉奇
<1%
伊戈尔·巴卢克契奇
<1%
马尔科·约尔吉奇
<1%
萨沃·米尼奇 60%
布兰科·布拉努沙 36%
Ćamil Duraković 3.3%
贝吉娅·斯马伊奇 3.3%
萨沃·米尼奇
60%
布兰科·布拉努沙
36%
Ćamil Duraković
3%
贝吉娅·斯马伊奇
3%
尤苏夫·阿里法吉奇
3%
伊沃·卡梅尼亚舍维奇
1%
弗兰约·尤基奇
<1%
博格丹·约瓦诺维奇
<1%
拉米兹·萨尔基奇
<1%
伊万·贝吉奇
<1%
伊戈尔·巴卢克契奇
<1%
马尔科·约尔吉奇
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate elected to serve as President of Republika Srpska as a result of this election. A candidate elected as a Vice-President of Republika Srpska will not count.
Interim, temporary, or acting Presidents of Republika Srpska will not count.
If no such President has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Aug 24, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate elected to serve as President of Republika Srpska as a result of this election. A candidate elected as a Vice-President of Republika Srpska will not count.
Interim, temporary, or acting Presidents of Republika Srpska will not count.
If no such President has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Savo Minić leads the Republika Srpska presidential race with trader consensus at 60 percent, reflecting the ruling SNSD's organizational strength and unified coalition backing announced in June 2026. As prime minister since 2025 and the party's nominee with endorsements from partners including United Srpska and the Socialist Party, Minić benefits from incumbency advantages in a Serb-majority entity where the SNSD has historically dominated assembly seats. Branko Blanuša of the opposition SDS sits at 36 percent, consistent with the party's position as the main challenger but limited by narrower polling support ahead of the October 4, 2026, vote. Lower-priced candidates such as Ćamil Duraković, Jusuf Arifagić, and others represent Bosniak and Croat vice-presidential contenders or minor Serb entrants, with "Other" priced at 50 percent amid the fragmented field. No major late-campaign shifts have altered the positioning in recent weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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