United Russia's commanding position in the September 2026 State Duma election reflects its status as the incumbent ruling party with extensive administrative resources and a mixed electoral system of single-mandate districts plus proportional party-list voting subject to a 5% threshold. Preparations have emphasized party primaries, leadership restructuring, and placement of pro-military candidates including war veterans on lists headed by figures such as Dmitry Medvedev. Opposition parties remain fragmented and constrained by registration rules and institutional controls. Trader consensus at 98.2% incorporates these structural advantages, though shifts could arise from sharp economic deterioration, unexpected leadership changes, or coordinated opposition strategies within the remaining campaign window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于统一俄罗斯党（ER） 98.2%
亚布洛科 <1%
俄罗斯自由民主党（LDPR） <1%
俄罗斯联邦共产党（KPRF） <1%
$3,185,275 交易量
$3,185,275 交易量
2026-09-30
统一俄罗斯党（ER）
98%
亚布洛科
1%
俄罗斯自由民主党（LDPR）
1%
俄罗斯联邦共产党（KPRF）
1%
新人民党（NL）
<1%
公正俄罗斯——为真理党（SRZP）
<1%
祖国党
<1%
公民平台（GP）
<1%
统一俄罗斯党（ER） 98.2%
亚布洛科 <1%
俄罗斯自由民主党（LDPR） <1%
俄罗斯联邦共产党（KPRF） <1%
$3,185,275 交易量
$3,185,275 交易量
2026-09-30
统一俄罗斯党（ER）
$802,796 交易量
98%
亚布洛科
$32,428 交易量
1%
俄罗斯自由民主党（LDPR）
$205,961 交易量
1%
俄罗斯联邦共产党（KPRF）
$163,363 交易量
1%
新人民党（NL）
$138,483 交易量
<1%
公正俄罗斯——为真理党（SRZP）
$736,130 交易量
<1%
祖国党
$502,708 交易量
<1%
公民平台（GP）
$603,407 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia's commanding position in the September 2026 State Duma election reflects its status as the incumbent ruling party with extensive administrative resources and a mixed electoral system of single-mandate districts plus proportional party-list voting subject to a 5% threshold. Preparations have emphasized party primaries, leadership restructuring, and placement of pro-military candidates including war veterans on lists headed by figures such as Dmitry Medvedev. Opposition parties remain fragmented and constrained by registration rules and institutional controls. Trader consensus at 98.2% incorporates these structural advantages, though shifts could arise from sharp economic deterioration, unexpected leadership changes, or coordinated opposition strategies within the remaining campaign window.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
市场开放时间： Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
交易量
$3,185,275结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia's commanding position in the September 2026 State Duma election reflects its status as the incumbent ruling party with extensive administrative resources and a mixed electoral system of single-mandate districts plus proportional party-list voting subject to a 5% threshold. Preparations have emphasized party primaries, leadership restructuring, and placement of pro-military candidates including war veterans on lists headed by figures such as Dmitry Medvedev. Opposition parties remain fragmented and constrained by registration rules and institutional controls. Trader consensus at 98.2% incorporates these structural advantages, though shifts could arise from sharp economic deterioration, unexpected leadership changes, or coordinated opposition strategies within the remaining campaign window.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
交易量
$3,185,275结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia's commanding position in the September 2026 State Duma election reflects its status as the incumbent ruling party with extensive administrative resources and a mixed electoral system of single-mandate districts plus proportional party-list voting subject to a 5% threshold. Preparations have emphasized party primaries, leadership restructuring, and placement of pro-military candidates including war veterans on lists headed by figures such as Dmitry Medvedev. Opposition parties remain fragmented and constrained by registration rules and institutional controls. Trader consensus at 98.2% incorporates these structural advantages, though shifts could arise from sharp economic deterioration, unexpected leadership changes, or coordinated opposition strategies within the remaining campaign window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题