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icon for 瑞典议会选举:哪些政党赢得席位?

瑞典议会选举:哪些政党赢得席位?

icon for 瑞典议会选举:哪些政党赢得席位?

瑞典议会选举:哪些政党赢得席位?

$2,877 交易量

2026-09-12
Polymarket

$2,877 交易量

Polymarket
icon for 绿党 (MP)

绿党 (MP)

$398 交易量

icon for 基督教民主党(KD)

基督教民主党(KD)

$1,271 交易量

icon for 左翼党(V)

左翼党(V)

$424 交易量

icon for 中间党(C)

中间党(C)

$785 交易量

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. Each market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified party receives at least one seat in the Swedish Riksdag as a result of the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise that market will resolve to "No". Seats will be counted only where they are attributed to the specified party. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, each market will resolve to "No". Each market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).**Sweden's September 13, 2026, parliamentary election produced a narrow centre-left victory and confirmed seats for all eight established parties in the 349-seat Riksdag.** Preliminary counts showed the Social Democrats-led opposition bloc (Social Democrats, Left Party, Centre Party, Greens) ahead by one seat at 175–174 over the incumbent right-wing grouping (Moderates, Christian Democrats, Liberals backed by the Sweden Democrats). All parties cleared the 4% national threshold, with the Liberals reaching roughly 5.3–5.4% after polling near or below it in earlier surveys. The Social Democrats remained the largest party at about 28%, while the Sweden Democrats fell to around 17.5% (down from 2022). The campaign centred on crime, immigration, the economy, and security, with late tightening of the blocs driven by shifts among undecided voters and stronger-than-expected Liberal performance. Final seat allocation awaits completion of late and overseas ballot counting, expected shortly.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

Each market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified party receives at least one seat in the Swedish Riksdag as a result of the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise that market will resolve to "No".

Seats will be counted only where they are attributed to the specified party. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, each market will resolve to "No".

Each market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. Each market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified party receives at least one seat in the Swedish Riksdag as a result of the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise that market will resolve to "No". Seats will be counted only where they are attributed to the specified party. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, each market will resolve to "No". Each market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
交易量
$2,877
结束日期
2026-09-13
市场开放时间
Sep 7, 2026, 12:16 PM ET

已提议结果: 是

无争议

最终结果: 是

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. Each market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified party receives at least one seat in the Swedish Riksdag as a result of the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise that market will resolve to "No". Seats will be counted only where they are attributed to the specified party. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, each market will resolve to "No". Each market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).**Sweden's September 13, 2026, parliamentary election produced a narrow centre-left victory and confirmed seats for all eight established parties in the 349-seat Riksdag.** Preliminary counts showed the Social Democrats-led opposition bloc (Social Democrats, Left Party, Centre Party, Greens) ahead by one seat at 175–174 over the incumbent right-wing grouping (Moderates, Christian Democrats, Liberals backed by the Sweden Democrats). All parties cleared the 4% national threshold, with the Liberals reaching roughly 5.3–5.4% after polling near or below it in earlier surveys. The Social Democrats remained the largest party at about 28%, while the Sweden Democrats fell to around 17.5% (down from 2022). The campaign centred on crime, immigration, the economy, and security, with late tightening of the blocs driven by shifts among undecided voters and stronger-than-expected Liberal performance. Final seat allocation awaits completion of late and overseas ballot counting, expected shortly.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

Each market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified party receives at least one seat in the Swedish Riksdag as a result of the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise that market will resolve to "No".

Seats will be counted only where they are attributed to the specified party. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, each market will resolve to "No".

Each market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. Each market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified party receives at least one seat in the Swedish Riksdag as a result of the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise that market will resolve to "No". Seats will be counted only where they are attributed to the specified party. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, each market will resolve to "No". Each market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
交易量
$2,877
结束日期
2026-09-13
市场开放时间
Sep 7, 2026, 12:16 PM ET

已提议结果: 是

无争议

最终结果: 是

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常见问题

"瑞典议会选举:哪些政党赢得席位?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 4 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"绿党 (MP)",概率为 100%,其次是"基督教民主党(KD)",概率为 100%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"瑞典议会选举:哪些政党赢得席位?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Sep 7, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"瑞典议会选举:哪些政党赢得席位?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 4 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"瑞典议会选举:哪些政党赢得席位?"的当前领先者是"绿党 (MP)",概率为 100%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"基督教民主党(KD)",概率为 100%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

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