United Russia maintains a commanding position in the Tyumen Oblast Duma election market due to its structural advantages in Russia's parallel voting system, which combines party-list proportional representation with a 5% threshold and single-member districts. As the incumbent party with full candidate slates across all 24 districts, substantial campaign funding, and alignment with regional executive leadership, it benefits from historical dominance and limited effective opposition from parties such as LDPR, CPRF, A Just Russia, and smaller entrants. The three-day voting window starting September 18 coincides with national elections, reinforcing established patterns of high support for the ruling party. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include unusually low turnout, coordinated opposition gains in key districts, or late administrative adjustments, though these remain low-probability events based on current registration and resource disparities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于United Russia 96.4%
LDPR <1%
Communists of Russia <1%
New People <1%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
United Russia
96%
LDPR
1%
Communists of Russia
<1%
New People
<1%
A Just Russia
<1%
Party of Pensioners
<1%
CPRF
<1%
United Russia 96.4%
LDPR <1%
Communists of Russia <1%
New People <1%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
United Russia
$2,101 交易量
96%
LDPR
$493 交易量
1%
Communists of Russia
$309 交易量
<1%
New People
$534 交易量
<1%
A Just Russia
$455 交易量
<1%
Party of Pensioners
$360 交易量
<1%
CPRF
$313 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Tyumen Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Tyumen Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Tyumen Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Tyumen Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Tyumen Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia maintains a commanding position in the Tyumen Oblast Duma election market due to its structural advantages in Russia's parallel voting system, which combines party-list proportional representation with a 5% threshold and single-member districts. As the incumbent party with full candidate slates across all 24 districts, substantial campaign funding, and alignment with regional executive leadership, it benefits from historical dominance and limited effective opposition from parties such as LDPR, CPRF, A Just Russia, and smaller entrants. The three-day voting window starting September 18 coincides with national elections, reinforcing established patterns of high support for the ruling party. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include unusually low turnout, coordinated opposition gains in key districts, or late administrative adjustments, though these remain low-probability events based on current registration and resource disparities.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Tyumen Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Tyumen Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Tyumen Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Tyumen Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Tyumen Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Tyumen Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Tyumen Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Tyumen Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Tyumen Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
市场开放时间： Jul 28, 2026, 12:06 PM ET
交易量
$4,564结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Jul 28, 2026, 12:06 PM ETParliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Tyumen Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Tyumen Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Tyumen Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Tyumen Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Tyumen Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia maintains a commanding position in the Tyumen Oblast Duma election market due to its structural advantages in Russia's parallel voting system, which combines party-list proportional representation with a 5% threshold and single-member districts. As the incumbent party with full candidate slates across all 24 districts, substantial campaign funding, and alignment with regional executive leadership, it benefits from historical dominance and limited effective opposition from parties such as LDPR, CPRF, A Just Russia, and smaller entrants. The three-day voting window starting September 18 coincides with national elections, reinforcing established patterns of high support for the ruling party. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include unusually low turnout, coordinated opposition gains in key districts, or late administrative adjustments, though these remain low-probability events based on current registration and resource disparities.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Tyumen Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Tyumen Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Tyumen Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Tyumen Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Tyumen Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Tyumen Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Tyumen Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Tyumen Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Tyumen Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
交易量
$4,564结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Jul 28, 2026, 12:06 PM ETUnited Russia maintains a commanding position in the Tyumen Oblast Duma election market due to its structural advantages in Russia's parallel voting system, which combines party-list proportional representation with a 5% threshold and single-member districts. As the incumbent party with full candidate slates across all 24 districts, substantial campaign funding, and alignment with regional executive leadership, it benefits from historical dominance and limited effective opposition from parties such as LDPR, CPRF, A Just Russia, and smaller entrants. The three-day voting window starting September 18 coincides with national elections, reinforcing established patterns of high support for the ruling party. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include unusually low turnout, coordinated opposition gains in key districts, or late administrative adjustments, though these remain low-probability events based on current registration and resource disparities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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