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icon for Senatswahl in Rio de Janeiro: 2. Platz
Politik·Brasilien

Senatswahl in Rio de Janeiro: 2. Platz

icon for Senatswahl in Rio de Janeiro: 2. Platz
Politik·Brasilien

Senatswahl in Rio de Janeiro: 2. Platz

Marcelo Crivella 37.6%

Carlos Jordy 20%

Pedro Paulo 18.1%

Carlos Portinho 15.1%

Polymarket

$56,820 Vol.

Marcelo Crivella 37.6%

Carlos Jordy 20%

Pedro Paulo 18.1%

Carlos Portinho 15.1%

Polymarket

$56,820 Vol.

icon for Marcelo Crivella

Marcelo Crivella

$8,974 Vol.

39%

icon for Carlos Jordy

Carlos Jordy

$11,845 Vol.

20%

icon for Pedro Paulo

Pedro Paulo

$8,143 Vol.

18%

icon for Carlos Portinho

Carlos Portinho

$5,816 Vol.

13%

icon for Benedita da Silva

Benedita da Silva

$10,055 Vol.

14%

icon for Monica Benicio

Monica Benicio

$2,152 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marcos Dias

Marcos Dias

$931 Vol.

<1%

icon for Waguinho

Waguinho

$1,399 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ó Clemente

Ó Clemente

$1,332 Vol.

<1%

icon for André Monteiro

André Monteiro

$2,185 Vol.

<1%

icon for Helio Secco

Helio Secco

$1,128 Vol.

<1%

icon for Luciano Mattos

Luciano Mattos

$597 Vol.

<1%

icon for Luiz Eugenio

Luiz Eugenio

$608 Vol.

<1%

icon for Michelly Xavier

Michelly Xavier

$601 Vol.

<1%

icon for Paula Falcão

Paula Falcão

$520 Vol.

<1%

icon for Vinicius Benevides

Vinicius Benevides

$533 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The fragmented field for Rio de Janeiro's two Senate seats, decided October 4 with voters selecting two candidates, keeps the second-place outcome tightly contested among traders. Recent polls show Benedita da Silva (PT) leading overall, but Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos), Carlos Jordy (PL), Carlos Portinho (PL), and Pedro Paulo (PSD) cluster closely behind in the low-to-mid teens, reflecting vote splitting on the right and limited consolidation. Crivella's candidacy, cleared by the TSE in August after prior ineligibility rulings, boosts his positioning through prior Senate and mayoral experience. Developments such as final-week campaign events, endorsements from state or national figures, or turnout shifts in key regions could separate contenders by consolidating preferences before ballots close.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$56,820
Enddatum
1. Juli 2027
Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The fragmented field for Rio de Janeiro's two Senate seats, decided October 4 with voters selecting two candidates, keeps the second-place outcome tightly contested among traders. Recent polls show Benedita da Silva (PT) leading overall, but Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos), Carlos Jordy (PL), Carlos Portinho (PL), and Pedro Paulo (PSD) cluster closely behind in the low-to-mid teens, reflecting vote splitting on the right and limited consolidation. Crivella's candidacy, cleared by the TSE in August after prior ineligibility rulings, boosts his positioning through prior Senate and mayoral experience. Developments such as final-week campaign events, endorsements from state or national figures, or turnout shifts in key regions could separate contenders by consolidating preferences before ballots close.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$56,820
Enddatum
1. Juli 2027
Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...

Verwandte

icon for Wird Benedita da Silva bei der Senatswahl 2026 in Rio de Janeiro die meisten Stimmen erhalten?

Wird Benedita da Silva bei der Senatswahl 2026 in Rio de Janeiro die meisten Stimmen erhalten?

57%
Ja
icon for Wird Sanderson die zweitmeisten Stimmen bei der Senatswahl 2026 in Rio Grande do Sul gewinnen?

Wird Sanderson die zweitmeisten Stimmen bei der Senatswahl 2026 in Rio Grande do Sul gewinnen?

46%
Ja
icon for Wird Zenaide Maia bei der Senatswahl 2026 in Rio Grande do Norte die zweitmeisten Stimmen erhalten?

Wird Zenaide Maia bei der Senatswahl 2026 in Rio Grande do Norte die zweitmeisten Stimmen erhalten?

57%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Senatswahl in Rio de Janeiro: 2. Platz" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 16 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Marcelo Crivella" mit 39%, gefolgt von „Carlos Jordy" mit 20%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 39¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 39% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Senatswahl in Rio de Janeiro: 2. Platz" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $56.8K generiert, seit der Markt am Aug 17, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Senatswahl in Rio de Janeiro: 2. Platz" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 16 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Senatswahl in Rio de Janeiro: 2. Platz" ist „Marcelo Crivella" mit 39%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 39% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Carlos Jordy" mit 20%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Senatswahl in Rio de Janeiro: 2. Platz" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.