Trader consensus has locked in 18°C as the highest temperature in Cape Town on May 14 at 100% implied probability, driven by official observations from the South African Weather Service (SAWS) and Cape Town International Airport (FACT) METAR reports showing peak readings of 18°C mid-afternoon under partly cloudy skies and moderate south-westerly winds. Following disruptive heavy rainfall and a cold front earlier in the week (May 11–13), today's cool autumn conditions— with morning fog patches clearing to hazy sunshine—align with climatological May averages of 20–22°C but capped by persistent cloud cover and sea breeze influences. New evening METARs or final SAWS daily summary could confirm, though a late heat burst exceeding 19°C remains highly unlikely given solar angle decline post-17:00 SAST sunset and stable atmospheric profiles.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Cape Town on May 14?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on May 14?
18°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$34,605 Vol.
$34,605 Vol.
14 may 2026
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$34,605 Vol.
$34,605 Vol.
14 may 2026
12°C or below
$1,780 Vol.
No
13°C
$1,894 Vol.
No
14°C
$1,316 Vol.
No
15°C
$1,092 Vol.
No
16°C
$2,268 Vol.
No
17°C
$3,713 Vol.
No
18°C
$6,618 Vol.
Yes
19°C
$3,941 Vol.
No
20°C
$4,246 Vol.
No
21°C
$3,441 Vol.
No
22°C or higher
$4,295 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in 18°C as the highest temperature in Cape Town on May 14 at 100% implied probability, driven by official observations from the South African Weather Service (SAWS) and Cape Town International Airport (FACT) METAR reports showing peak readings of 18°C mid-afternoon under partly cloudy skies and moderate south-westerly winds. Following disruptive heavy rainfall and a cold front earlier in the week (May 11–13), today's cool autumn conditions— with morning fog patches clearing to hazy sunshine—align with climatological May averages of 20–22°C but capped by persistent cloud cover and sea breeze influences. New evening METARs or final SAWS daily summary could confirm, though a late heat burst exceeding 19°C remains highly unlikely given solar angle decline post-17:00 SAST sunset and stable atmospheric profiles.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 12, 2026, 12:43 AM ET
Volumen
$34,605Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 12:43 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in 18°C as the highest temperature in Cape Town on May 14 at 100% implied probability, driven by official observations from the South African Weather Service (SAWS) and Cape Town International Airport (FACT) METAR reports showing peak readings of 18°C mid-afternoon under partly cloudy skies and moderate south-westerly winds. Following disruptive heavy rainfall and a cold front earlier in the week (May 11–13), today's cool autumn conditions— with morning fog patches clearing to hazy sunshine—align with climatological May averages of 20–22°C but capped by persistent cloud cover and sea breeze influences. New evening METARs or final SAWS daily summary could confirm, though a late heat burst exceeding 19°C remains highly unlikely given solar angle decline post-17:00 SAST sunset and stable atmospheric profiles.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$34,605Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 12:43 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Trader consensus has locked in 18°C as the highest temperature in Cape Town on May 14 at 100% implied probability, driven by official observations from the South African Weather Service (SAWS) and Cape Town International Airport (FACT) METAR reports showing peak readings of 18°C mid-afternoon under partly cloudy skies and moderate south-westerly winds. Following disruptive heavy rainfall and a cold front earlier in the week (May 11–13), today's cool autumn conditions— with morning fog patches clearing to hazy sunshine—align with climatological May averages of 20–22°C but capped by persistent cloud cover and sea breeze influences. New evening METARs or final SAWS daily summary could confirm, though a late heat burst exceeding 19°C remains highly unlikely given solar angle decline post-17:00 SAST sunset and stable atmospheric profiles.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes