Trader consensus positions the 54-57 percent turnout range as the leading outcome for Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential election due to historical first-round participation averaging near 55 percent, including 54.9 percent in 2022. March legislative elections produced turnout around 48 percent amid widespread voter apathy and a fragmented congressional contest, yet presidential races typically draw higher participation. Recent Invamer polling shows a divided field led by Iván Cepeda without any candidate near a majority threshold, limiting prospects for a surge above 60 percent, while a late-April survey found 56.5 percent of respondents very likely to vote. These factors sustain moderate expectations and keep adjacent bands such as 48-51 and 51-54 percent viable ahead of election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated54-57% 53%
51-54% 18%
57-60% 18.0%
60%+ 17.0%
NEW
NEW
May 31, 2026
<48%
5%
48-51%
22%
51-54%
20%
54-57%
53%
57-60%
13%
60%+
17%
54-57% 53%
51-54% 18%
57-60% 18.0%
60%+ 17.0%
NEW
NEW
May 31, 2026
<48%
$436 Vol.
5%
48-51%
$428 Vol.
22%
51-54%
$420 Vol.
20%
54-57%
$441 Vol.
53%
57-60%
$420 Vol.
13%
60%+
$489 Vol.
17%
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Trader consensus positions the 54-57 percent turnout range as the leading outcome for Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential election due to historical first-round participation averaging near 55 percent, including 54.9 percent in 2022. March legislative elections produced turnout around 48 percent amid widespread voter apathy and a fragmented congressional contest, yet presidential races typically draw higher participation. Recent Invamer polling shows a divided field led by Iván Cepeda without any candidate near a majority threshold, limiting prospects for a surge above 60 percent, while a late-April survey found 56.5 percent of respondents very likely to vote. These factors sustain moderate expectations and keep adjacent bands such as 48-51 and 51-54 percent viable ahead of election day.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Market Opened: Apr 21, 2026, 3:32 PM ET
Volume
$2,634End Date
May 31, 2026Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Trader consensus positions the 54-57 percent turnout range as the leading outcome for Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential election due to historical first-round participation averaging near 55 percent, including 54.9 percent in 2022. March legislative elections produced turnout around 48 percent amid widespread voter apathy and a fragmented congressional contest, yet presidential races typically draw higher participation. Recent Invamer polling shows a divided field led by Iván Cepeda without any candidate near a majority threshold, limiting prospects for a surge above 60 percent, while a late-April survey found 56.5 percent of respondents very likely to vote. These factors sustain moderate expectations and keep adjacent bands such as 48-51 and 51-54 percent viable ahead of election day.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volume
$2,634End Date
May 31, 2026Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus positions the 54-57 percent turnout range as the leading outcome for Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential election due to historical first-round participation averaging near 55 percent, including 54.9 percent in 2022. March legislative elections produced turnout around 48 percent amid widespread voter apathy and a fragmented congressional contest, yet presidential races typically draw higher participation. Recent Invamer polling shows a divided field led by Iván Cepeda without any candidate near a majority threshold, limiting prospects for a surge above 60 percent, while a late-April survey found 56.5 percent of respondents very likely to vote. These factors sustain moderate expectations and keep adjacent bands such as 48-51 and 51-54 percent viable ahead of election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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