Colombia Presidential Election

Name: Colombia Presidential Election
Start: 2025-07-29T17:32:52.057619Z
End: 2026-06-21T14:00:00Z

$2,033,545 Vol.

Jun 21, 2026

Abelardo de la Espriella 48%

Iván Cepeda Castro 36%

Paloma Valencia 5.8%

Sergio Fajardo (DC) 5%

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

Abelardo de la Espriella
$82,931 Vol.
48%

Iván Cepeda Castro
$56,476 Vol.
36%

Paloma Valencia
$21,842 Vol.
6%

Sergio Fajardo (DC)
$42,136 Vol.
5%

Juan Carlos Pinzón
$24,581 Vol.
4%

Roy Barreras
$32,408 Vol.
2%

Vicky Dávila (IND)
$37,536 Vol.
<1%

Mauricio Cárdenas
$1,290,962 Vol.
<1%

Luis Gilberto Murillo (CRB)
$64,881 Vol.
<1%

Claudia López (IND)
$39,753 Vol.
<1%

David Luna Sánchez (IND)
$62,594 Vol.
<1%

Juan Daniel Oviedo (IND)
$40,823 Vol.
<1%

Juan Manuel Galán (NL)
$45,583 Vol.
<1%

Germán Vargas Lleras (RC)
$43,212 Vol.
<1%

Daniel Quintero
$19,575 Vol.
<1%

Gustavo Bolívar (HC)
$70,165 Vol.
<1%

Enrique Peñalosa
$33,470 Vol.
<1%

Rules

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

Created At: Jul 29, 2025, 5:17 PM UTC

Volume

$2,033,545

End Date

Jun 21, 2026

Created At

Jul 29, 2025, 5:17 PM UTC

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Beware of external links.

$2,033,545 Vol.

Jun 21, 2026

Colombia Presidential Election

Abelardo de la Espriella 48%

Iván Cepeda Castro 36%

Paloma Valencia 5.8%

Sergio Fajardo (DC) 5%

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

Abelardo de la Espriella

$82,931 Vol.

48%

Iván Cepeda Castro

$56,476 Vol.

36%

Paloma Valencia

$21,842 Vol.

Sergio Fajardo (DC)

$42,136 Vol.

Juan Carlos Pinzón

$24,581 Vol.

Roy Barreras

$32,408 Vol.

Vicky Dávila (IND)

$37,536 Vol.

<1%

Mauricio Cárdenas

$1,290,962 Vol.

<1%

Luis Gilberto Murillo (CRB)

$64,881 Vol.

<1%

Claudia López (IND)

$39,753 Vol.

<1%

David Luna Sánchez (IND)

$62,594 Vol.

<1%

Juan Daniel Oviedo (IND)

$40,823 Vol.

<1%

Juan Manuel Galán (NL)

$45,583 Vol.

<1%

Germán Vargas Lleras (RC)

$43,212 Vol.

<1%

Daniel Quintero

$19,575 Vol.

<1%

Gustavo Bolívar (HC)

$70,165 Vol.

<1%

Enrique Peñalosa

$33,470 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume

$2,033,545

End Date

Jun 21, 2026

Created At

Jul 29, 2025, 5:17 PM UTC

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

52%

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?

18%

Will PLC win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?

51%

Beware of external links.

Colombia Presidential Election