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icon for Connecticut Governor Republican Primary Winner
Politics·Primary Elections

Connecticut Governor Republican Primary Winner

icon for Connecticut Governor Republican Primary Winner
Politics·Primary Elections

Connecticut Governor Republican Primary Winner

Ryan Fazio 100.0%

Erin Stewart <1%

Timothy Wilcox <1%

Betsy McCaughey <1%

Polymarket

$25,546 Vol.

Ryan Fazio 100.0%

Erin Stewart <1%

Timothy Wilcox <1%

Betsy McCaughey <1%

Polymarket

$25,546 Vol.

icon for Erin Stewart

Erin Stewart

$5,027 Vol.

No

icon for Ryan Fazio

Ryan Fazio

$11,546 Vol.

Yes

icon for Timothy Wilcox

Timothy Wilcox

$6,487 Vol.

No

icon for Betsy McCaughey

Betsy McCaughey

$1,674 Vol.

No

icon for Harry Arora

Harry Arora

$812 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Connecticut, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Connecticut Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Connecticut Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Ryan Fazio secured the Republican nomination for Connecticut governor after winning roughly 92% of delegate votes at the state convention in May 2026, following Erin Stewart’s suspension of her campaign over allegations of city credit card misuse and Betsy McCaughey’s failure to reach the 15% threshold needed to force an August primary. Stewart and McCaughey both endorsed Fazio, while other listed candidates either withdrew or failed to qualify for the ballot. With the August 11 primary canceled as uncontested, Fazio advanced automatically as the party’s standard-bearer to face incumbent Democrat Ned Lamont in November. The near-certain outcome reflected in trader pricing stems from this early consolidation of support and the absence of any remaining procedural path for challengers.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Connecticut, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Connecticut Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Connecticut Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Connecticut, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Connecticut Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Connecticut Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$25,546
End Date
Aug 11, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 5, 2025, 9:57 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Connecticut, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Connecticut Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Connecticut Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Ryan Fazio secured the Republican nomination for Connecticut governor after winning roughly 92% of delegate votes at the state convention in May 2026, following Erin Stewart’s suspension of her campaign over allegations of city credit card misuse and Betsy McCaughey’s failure to reach the 15% threshold needed to force an August primary. Stewart and McCaughey both endorsed Fazio, while other listed candidates either withdrew or failed to qualify for the ballot. With the August 11 primary canceled as uncontested, Fazio advanced automatically as the party’s standard-bearer to face incumbent Democrat Ned Lamont in November. The near-certain outcome reflected in trader pricing stems from this early consolidation of support and the absence of any remaining procedural path for challengers.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Connecticut, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Connecticut Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Connecticut Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Connecticut, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Connecticut Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Connecticut Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$25,546
End Date
Aug 11, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 5, 2025, 9:57 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Connecticut Governor Republican Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ryan Fazio" at 100%, followed by "Erin Stewart" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Connecticut Governor Republican Primary Winner" has generated $25.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Connecticut Governor Republican Primary Winner," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Connecticut Governor Republican Primary Winner" is "Ryan Fazio" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Erin Stewart" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Connecticut Governor Republican Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.