Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's term runs until the scheduled 2028 presidential election, with no snap election called despite ongoing calls from opposition leader Özgür Özel of the CHP for polls by October 2027 amid economic pressures and the jailed Istanbul mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu's challenges. Unsubstantiated health rumors from February 2026 have faded without official developments, while AKP allies retain parliamentary control, blocking early votes or no-confidence motions. Trader consensus at 89.5% "No" reflects this stability, though a major scandal, health crisis, or coalition fracture could shift odds before year-end; upcoming parliamentary sessions may test opposition momentum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedErdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
$348,914 Vol.
$348,914 Vol.
$348,914 Vol.
$348,914 Vol.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's term runs until the scheduled 2028 presidential election, with no snap election called despite ongoing calls from opposition leader Özgür Özel of the CHP for polls by October 2027 amid economic pressures and the jailed Istanbul mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu's challenges. Unsubstantiated health rumors from February 2026 have faded without official developments, while AKP allies retain parliamentary control, blocking early votes or no-confidence motions. Trader consensus at 89.5% "No" reflects this stability, though a major scandal, health crisis, or coalition fracture could shift odds before year-end; upcoming parliamentary sessions may test opposition momentum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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