**Gustavo Gayer leads trader consensus for second place in Goiás’s October 4 Senate election, where voters select two senators.** Recent surveys, including Quaest (late August) and IGAPE (mid-September), show ex-first lady Gracinha Caiado (União) consistently ahead in consolidated first- and second-preference votes, while Gayer (PL) ranks second or within the margin for the remaining seat ahead of Vanderlan Cardoso (PSD), Dr. Zacharias Calil (MDB), and Gustavo Mendanha (PRD). High undecided shares above 25% and low spontaneous recognition persist, yet Gayer’s federal deputy incumbency, party backing, and stronger second-choice performance in Directa polling underpin the implied probability. No major late developments have altered this positioning in the past month, with the race remaining focused on turnout and name recognition among the 11 registered candidates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedGustavo Gayer 74%
Gracinha Caiado 14.9%
Dr. Zacharias Calil 11.8%
Gustavo Mendanha 5.2%
$38,730 Vol.
$38,730 Vol.
Jun 30, 2027
Gustavo Gayer
74%
Gracinha Caiado
15%
Dr. Zacharias Calil
11%
Gustavo Mendanha
5%
Vanderlan Cardoso
4%
Iure Castro
<1%
Cintia Dias
<1%
Ernesto Roller
<1%
Oséias Varão
<1%
Guilherme Darques
<1%
Isaura Lemos
<1%
Gustavo Gayer 74%
Gracinha Caiado 14.9%
Dr. Zacharias Calil 11.8%
Gustavo Mendanha 5.2%
$38,730 Vol.
$38,730 Vol.
Jun 30, 2027
Gustavo Gayer
$30,860 Vol.
74%
Gracinha Caiado
$3,119 Vol.
15%
Dr. Zacharias Calil
$784 Vol.
11%
Gustavo Mendanha
$501 Vol.
5%
Vanderlan Cardoso
$925 Vol.
4%
Iure Castro
$411 Vol.
<1%
Cintia Dias
$538 Vol.
<1%
Ernesto Roller
$468 Vol.
<1%
Oséias Varão
$358 Vol.
<1%
Guilherme Darques
$403 Vol.
<1%
Isaura Lemos
$363 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Goiás is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Gustavo Gayer leads trader consensus for second place in Goiás’s October 4 Senate election, where voters select two senators.** Recent surveys, including Quaest (late August) and IGAPE (mid-September), show ex-first lady Gracinha Caiado (União) consistently ahead in consolidated first- and second-preference votes, while Gayer (PL) ranks second or within the margin for the remaining seat ahead of Vanderlan Cardoso (PSD), Dr. Zacharias Calil (MDB), and Gustavo Mendanha (PRD). High undecided shares above 25% and low spontaneous recognition persist, yet Gayer’s federal deputy incumbency, party backing, and stronger second-choice performance in Directa polling underpin the implied probability. No major late developments have altered this positioning in the past month, with the race remaining focused on turnout and name recognition among the 11 registered candidates.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Goiás is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:59 AM ET
Volume
$38,730End Date
Jul 1, 2027Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:59 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Goiás is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Gustavo Gayer leads trader consensus for second place in Goiás’s October 4 Senate election, where voters select two senators.** Recent surveys, including Quaest (late August) and IGAPE (mid-September), show ex-first lady Gracinha Caiado (União) consistently ahead in consolidated first- and second-preference votes, while Gayer (PL) ranks second or within the margin for the remaining seat ahead of Vanderlan Cardoso (PSD), Dr. Zacharias Calil (MDB), and Gustavo Mendanha (PRD). High undecided shares above 25% and low spontaneous recognition persist, yet Gayer’s federal deputy incumbency, party backing, and stronger second-choice performance in Directa polling underpin the implied probability. No major late developments have altered this positioning in the past month, with the race remaining focused on turnout and name recognition among the 11 registered candidates.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Goiás is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$38,730End Date
Jul 1, 2027Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:59 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Gustavo Gayer leads trader consensus for second place in Goiás’s October 4 Senate election, where voters select two senators.** Recent surveys, including Quaest (late August) and IGAPE (mid-September), show ex-first lady Gracinha Caiado (União) consistently ahead in consolidated first- and second-preference votes, while Gayer (PL) ranks second or within the margin for the remaining seat ahead of Vanderlan Cardoso (PSD), Dr. Zacharias Calil (MDB), and Gustavo Mendanha (PRD). High undecided shares above 25% and low spontaneous recognition persist, yet Gayer’s federal deputy incumbency, party backing, and stronger second-choice performance in Directa polling underpin the implied probability. No major late developments have altered this positioning in the past month, with the race remaining focused on turnout and name recognition among the 11 registered candidates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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