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Politics·Primaries

Guam Governor Republican Primary Winner

icon for Guam Governor Republican Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

Guam Governor Republican Primary Winner

Vicente Ada 72%

Frank F. Blas Jr. 16%

Marcel Camacho 3.4%

Charlie Hermosa 3.3%

Polymarket

$25,068 Vol.

Vicente Ada 72%

Frank F. Blas Jr. 16%

Marcel Camacho 3.4%

Charlie Hermosa 3.3%

Polymarket

$25,068 Vol.

Vicente Ada

$6,731 Vol.

72%

Frank F. Blas Jr.

$6,404 Vol.

16%

Marcel Camacho

$2,366 Vol.

3%

Charlie Hermosa

$1,220 Vol.

11%

Douglas Moylan

$8,347 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Guam, scheduled to take place on August 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Guam Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Guam Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Vicente Ada holds the leading position in the Republican primary for Guam governor, scheduled for August 1, 2026, largely due to his current role as vice speaker of the legislature and his team's early platform launch emphasizing local priorities. Frank Blas Jr., the current speaker, entered the race in April with former Guam Community College president Mary Okada, drawing attention through a formal filing and campaign event focused on accountability measures. Other contenders, including Marcel Camacho, Charlie Hermosa, and Douglas Moylan, remain on the ballot following the May filing deadline, though their campaigns have generated less visible momentum to date. The August primary will narrow the field ahead of the November general election, with trader assessments reflecting name recognition and legislative experience as key differentiators in this early stage.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Guam, scheduled to take place on August 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Guam Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Guam Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$25,068
End Date
Aug 1, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Guam, scheduled to take place on August 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Guam Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Guam Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Guam, scheduled to take place on August 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Guam Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Guam Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Vicente Ada holds the leading position in the Republican primary for Guam governor, scheduled for August 1, 2026, largely due to his current role as vice speaker of the legislature and his team's early platform launch emphasizing local priorities. Frank Blas Jr., the current speaker, entered the race in April with former Guam Community College president Mary Okada, drawing attention through a formal filing and campaign event focused on accountability measures. Other contenders, including Marcel Camacho, Charlie Hermosa, and Douglas Moylan, remain on the ballot following the May filing deadline, though their campaigns have generated less visible momentum to date. The August primary will narrow the field ahead of the November general election, with trader assessments reflecting name recognition and legislative experience as key differentiators in this early stage.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Guam, scheduled to take place on August 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Guam Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Guam Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$25,068
End Date
Aug 1, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Guam, scheduled to take place on August 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Guam Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Guam Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Guam Governor Republican Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Vicente Ada" at 72%, followed by "Frank F. Blas Jr." at 17%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 72¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 72% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Guam Governor Republican Primary Winner" has generated $25.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Guam Governor Republican Primary Winner," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Guam Governor Republican Primary Winner" is "Vicente Ada" at 72%, meaning the market assigns a 72% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Frank F. Blas Jr." at 17%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Guam Governor Republican Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.