**Official forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and multiple international models point to a daytime high of 12–13 °C in Buenos Aires today, following a polar outbreak that delivered morning lows near 6–7 °C.** Clear skies and light northeasterly winds are allowing gradual daytime warming after the cold start, with hourly data showing temperatures climbing steadily from single digits through late morning and peaking in the early-to-mid afternoon before declining again. This consensus on modest recovery from recent sub-10 °C maxima explains why the market assigns the highest implied probability (55 %) to 13 °C, with 12 °C and 14 °C as the next most likely outcomes. Model runs remain tightly clustered around this range, and the absence of stronger warming or cloud cover that would suppress the peak keeps lower or higher extremes at minimal odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 24?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 24?
13°C 57%
14°C 22%
12°C 20%
15°C 3%
NEW
$11,534 Vol.
NEW
$11,534 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
2%
12°C
20%
13°C
57%
14°C
22%
15°C
3%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
13°C 57%
14°C 22%
12°C 20%
15°C 3%
NEW
$11,534 Vol.
NEW
$11,534 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
7°C or below
$99 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$245 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$189 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$400 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$766 Vol.
2%
12°C
$2,225 Vol.
20%
13°C
$1,480 Vol.
57%
14°C
$2,743 Vol.
22%
15°C
$2,687 Vol.
3%
16°C
$497 Vol.
<1%
17°C or higher
$201 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and multiple international models point to a daytime high of 12–13 °C in Buenos Aires today, following a polar outbreak that delivered morning lows near 6–7 °C.** Clear skies and light northeasterly winds are allowing gradual daytime warming after the cold start, with hourly data showing temperatures climbing steadily from single digits through late morning and peaking in the early-to-mid afternoon before declining again.
This consensus on modest recovery from recent sub-10 °C maxima explains why the market assigns the highest implied probability (55 %) to 13 °C, with 12 °C and 14 °C as the next most likely outcomes. Model runs remain tightly clustered around this range, and the absence of stronger warming or cloud cover that would suppress the peak keeps lower or higher extremes at minimal odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Volume
$11,534End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 8:55 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and multiple international models point to a daytime high of 12–13 °C in Buenos Aires today, following a polar outbreak that delivered morning lows near 6–7 °C.** Clear skies and light northeasterly winds are allowing gradual daytime warming after the cold start, with hourly data showing temperatures climbing steadily from single digits through late morning and peaking in the early-to-mid afternoon before declining again.
This consensus on modest recovery from recent sub-10 °C maxima explains why the market assigns the highest implied probability (55 %) to 13 °C, with 12 °C and 14 °C as the next most likely outcomes. Model runs remain tightly clustered around this range, and the absence of stronger warming or cloud cover that would suppress the peak keeps lower or higher extremes at minimal odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,534End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 8:55 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and multiple international models point to a daytime high of 12–13 °C in Buenos Aires today, following a polar outbreak that delivered morning lows near 6–7 °C.** Clear skies and light northeasterly winds are allowing gradual daytime warming after the cold start, with hourly data showing temperatures climbing steadily from single digits through late morning and peaking in the early-to-mid afternoon before declining again. This consensus on modest recovery from recent sub-10 °C maxima explains why the market assigns the highest implied probability (55 %) to 13 °C, with 12 °C and 14 °C as the next most likely outcomes. Model runs remain tightly clustered around this range, and the absence of stronger warming or cloud cover that would suppress the peak keeps lower or higher extremes at minimal odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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