Trader consensus on a 23°C high for Cape Town on August 12 reflects official South African Weather Service guidance and model consensus under a departing cut-off low, with partly cloudy skies and moderate northerly flow allowing daytime warming to that level amid typical late-winter conditions. Average August maxima near 18°C provide climatological context, yet current observations and short-range guidance support the market-implied odds exceeding 99% for this exact threshold. Stronger-than-expected onshore winds, increased cloud cover, or a slower system exit could cap temperatures below 23°C, while any upward revision in surface observations before market resolution remains the main realistic uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Cape Town on August 12?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on August 12?
23°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$39,275 Vol.
$39,275 Vol.
Aug 12, 2026
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$39,275 Vol.
$39,275 Vol.
Aug 12, 2026
16°C or below
$345 Vol.
No
17°C
$1,175 Vol.
No
18°C
$483 Vol.
No
19°C
$1,452 Vol.
No
20°C
$1,253 Vol.
No
21°C
$3,571 Vol.
No
22°C
$11,081 Vol.
No
23°C
$6,929 Vol.
Yes
24°C
$5,455 Vol.
No
25°C
$3,185 Vol.
No
26°C or higher
$4,345 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on a 23°C high for Cape Town on August 12 reflects official South African Weather Service guidance and model consensus under a departing cut-off low, with partly cloudy skies and moderate northerly flow allowing daytime warming to that level amid typical late-winter conditions. Average August maxima near 18°C provide climatological context, yet current observations and short-range guidance support the market-implied odds exceeding 99% for this exact threshold. Stronger-than-expected onshore winds, increased cloud cover, or a slower system exit could cap temperatures below 23°C, while any upward revision in surface observations before market resolution remains the main realistic uncertainty.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 10, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Volume
$39,275End Date
Aug 12, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 1:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on a 23°C high for Cape Town on August 12 reflects official South African Weather Service guidance and model consensus under a departing cut-off low, with partly cloudy skies and moderate northerly flow allowing daytime warming to that level amid typical late-winter conditions. Average August maxima near 18°C provide climatological context, yet current observations and short-range guidance support the market-implied odds exceeding 99% for this exact threshold. Stronger-than-expected onshore winds, increased cloud cover, or a slower system exit could cap temperatures below 23°C, while any upward revision in surface observations before market resolution remains the main realistic uncertainty.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$39,275End Date
Aug 12, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 1:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus on a 23°C high for Cape Town on August 12 reflects official South African Weather Service guidance and model consensus under a departing cut-off low, with partly cloudy skies and moderate northerly flow allowing daytime warming to that level amid typical late-winter conditions. Average August maxima near 18°C provide climatological context, yet current observations and short-range guidance support the market-implied odds exceeding 99% for this exact threshold. Stronger-than-expected onshore winds, increased cloud cover, or a slower system exit could cap temperatures below 23°C, while any upward revision in surface observations before market resolution remains the main realistic uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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