Traders have concentrated nearly two-thirds of implied probability on highs of 74–77°F for Chicago on June 15 because the latest forecast guidance from NWS and private models shows a daytime maximum in the low-to-mid 70s. Cooler-than-normal air behind a departing cold front, combined with increasing cloud cover and possible scattered showers, is suppressing temperatures several degrees below the long-term June 15 average high of 80.5°F. Ensemble spreads remain modest, supporting the narrow 76–77°F bin as the mode while limiting upside risk to the 78–79°F tier. Updated model runs and the official NWS point forecast expected overnight will determine whether probabilities shift further toward the current leading outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Chicago on June 15?
Highest temperature in Chicago on June 15?
76〜77°F 40%
74〜75°F 32%
78〜79°F 16%
72〜73°F 9%
新規
新規
2026/06/15
65°F以下
<1%
66～67°F
<1%
68～69°F
<1%
70〜71°F
3%
72〜73°F
9%
74〜75°F
32%
76〜77°F
40%
78〜79°F
16%
80〜81°F
4%
82-83°F
1%
84°F or higher
1%
76〜77°F 40%
74〜75°F 32%
78〜79°F 16%
72〜73°F 9%
新規
新規
2026/06/15
65°F以下
$223 Vol.
<1%
66～67°F
$269 Vol.
<1%
68～69°F
$140 Vol.
<1%
70〜71°F
$718 Vol.
3%
72〜73°F
$739 Vol.
9%
74〜75°F
$457 Vol.
32%
76〜77°F
$308 Vol.
40%
78〜79°F
$296 Vol.
16%
80〜81°F
$196 Vol.
4%
82-83°F
$629 Vol.
1%
84°F or higher
$775 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have concentrated nearly two-thirds of implied probability on highs of 74–77°F for Chicago on June 15 because the latest forecast guidance from NWS and private models shows a daytime maximum in the low-to-mid 70s. Cooler-than-normal air behind a departing cold front, combined with increasing cloud cover and possible scattered showers, is suppressing temperatures several degrees below the long-term June 15 average high of 80.5°F. Ensemble spreads remain modest, supporting the narrow 76–77°F bin as the mode while limiting upside risk to the 78–79°F tier. Updated model runs and the official NWS point forecast expected overnight will determine whether probabilities shift further toward the current leading outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
音量
$4,731終了日
2026/06/15マーケット開始日
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have concentrated nearly two-thirds of implied probability on highs of 74–77°F for Chicago on June 15 because the latest forecast guidance from NWS and private models shows a daytime maximum in the low-to-mid 70s. Cooler-than-normal air behind a departing cold front, combined with increasing cloud cover and possible scattered showers, is suppressing temperatures several degrees below the long-term June 15 average high of 80.5°F. Ensemble spreads remain modest, supporting the narrow 76–77°F bin as the mode while limiting upside risk to the 78–79°F tier. Updated model runs and the official NWS point forecast expected overnight will determine whether probabilities shift further toward the current leading outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$4,731終了日
2026/06/15マーケット開始日
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ETTraders have concentrated nearly two-thirds of implied probability on highs of 74–77°F for Chicago on June 15 because the latest forecast guidance from NWS and private models shows a daytime maximum in the low-to-mid 70s. Cooler-than-normal air behind a departing cold front, combined with increasing cloud cover and possible scattered showers, is suppressing temperatures several degrees below the long-term June 15 average high of 80.5°F. Ensemble spreads remain modest, supporting the narrow 76–77°F bin as the mode while limiting upside risk to the 78–79°F tier. Updated model runs and the official NWS point forecast expected overnight will determine whether probabilities shift further toward the current leading outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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