Recent short-range forecasts from agencies including the Finnish Meteorological Institute show Helsinki's June 15 high most likely reaching 17–18 °C, with model runs diverging on the strength of a weak high-pressure ridge versus incoming Atlantic moisture. Light southwesterly flow will advect mild maritime air, while variable cloud cover and possible light showers limit surface heating and keep the daily maximum close to climatological norms for mid-June. Ensemble spreads remain narrow because the steering pattern is well-resolved, yet small differences in timing of any frontal passage or solar insolation can shift the peak by 1 °C. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to the 17 °C and 18 °C outcomes, reflecting the narrow but genuine uncertainty in boundary-layer temperature response.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Helsinki on June 15?
17°C 36%
18°C 32%
16°C 16%
19°C 12%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
3%
16°C
16%
17°C
36%
18°C
32%
19°C
12%
20°C
1%
21°C or higher
1%
17°C 36%
18°C 32%
16°C 16%
19°C 12%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
3%
16°C
16%
17°C
36%
18°C
32%
19°C
12%
20°C
1%
21°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 13, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent short-range forecasts from agencies including the Finnish Meteorological Institute show Helsinki's June 15 high most likely reaching 17–18 °C, with model runs diverging on the strength of a weak high-pressure ridge versus incoming Atlantic moisture. Light southwesterly flow will advect mild maritime air, while variable cloud cover and possible light showers limit surface heating and keep the daily maximum close to climatological norms for mid-June. Ensemble spreads remain narrow because the steering pattern is well-resolved, yet small differences in timing of any frontal passage or solar insolation can shift the peak by 1 °C. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to the 17 °C and 18 °C outcomes, reflecting the narrow but genuine uncertainty in boundary-layer temperature response.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions