**Forecast uncertainty around mid-June conditions in Helsinki drives the closely matched market odds favoring 19–20°C.** Current numerical weather prediction models, including those from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and European ensembles, indicate a maximum temperature likely in the 15–21°C range on June 16, 2026, with the precise peak hinging on cloud cover, wind direction from the Baltic Sea, and any late-day clearing. Recent observations show daytime highs fluctuating between 14–18°C amid variable Atlantic flow and light precipitation chances, keeping probabilities tightly clustered rather than favoring a single outcome. Historical June averages near 17–19°C provide context, but short-range model spreads—particularly in boundary-layer mixing and diurnal heating under partly cloudy skies—explain why 21°C or higher retains meaningful implied probability while colder bins remain low. Updated runs ahead of the 48-hour window will likely sharpen resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Helsinki on June 16?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on June 16?
19°C 27%
20°C 25%
21°C or higher 17%
18°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-06-16
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
9%
18°C
12%
19°C
27%
20°C
25%
21°C or higher
17%
19°C 27%
20°C 25%
21°C or higher 17%
18°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-06-16
11°C or below
$0 交易量
<1%
12°C
$0 交易量
<1%
13°C
$0 交易量
<1%
14°C
$101 交易量
<1%
15°C
$30 交易量
1%
16°C
$120 交易量
1%
17°C
$0 交易量
9%
18°C
$18 交易量
12%
19°C
$52 交易量
27%
20°C
$19 交易量
25%
21°C or higher
$497 交易量
17%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast uncertainty around mid-June conditions in Helsinki drives the closely matched market odds favoring 19–20°C.**
Current numerical weather prediction models, including those from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and European ensembles, indicate a maximum temperature likely in the 15–21°C range on June 16, 2026, with the precise peak hinging on cloud cover, wind direction from the Baltic Sea, and any late-day clearing. Recent observations show daytime highs fluctuating between 14–18°C amid variable Atlantic flow and light precipitation chances, keeping probabilities tightly clustered rather than favoring a single outcome.
Historical June averages near 17–19°C provide context, but short-range model spreads—particularly in boundary-layer mixing and diurnal heating under partly cloudy skies—explain why 21°C or higher retains meaningful implied probability while colder bins remain low. Updated runs ahead of the 48-hour window will likely sharpen resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$512結束日期
2026-06-16市場開放時間
Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast uncertainty around mid-June conditions in Helsinki drives the closely matched market odds favoring 19–20°C.**
Current numerical weather prediction models, including those from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and European ensembles, indicate a maximum temperature likely in the 15–21°C range on June 16, 2026, with the precise peak hinging on cloud cover, wind direction from the Baltic Sea, and any late-day clearing. Recent observations show daytime highs fluctuating between 14–18°C amid variable Atlantic flow and light precipitation chances, keeping probabilities tightly clustered rather than favoring a single outcome.
Historical June averages near 17–19°C provide context, but short-range model spreads—particularly in boundary-layer mixing and diurnal heating under partly cloudy skies—explain why 21°C or higher retains meaningful implied probability while colder bins remain low. Updated runs ahead of the 48-hour window will likely sharpen resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$512結束日期
2026-06-16市場開放時間
Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET**Forecast uncertainty around mid-June conditions in Helsinki drives the closely matched market odds favoring 19–20°C.** Current numerical weather prediction models, including those from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and European ensembles, indicate a maximum temperature likely in the 15–21°C range on June 16, 2026, with the precise peak hinging on cloud cover, wind direction from the Baltic Sea, and any late-day clearing. Recent observations show daytime highs fluctuating between 14–18°C amid variable Atlantic flow and light precipitation chances, keeping probabilities tightly clustered rather than favoring a single outcome. Historical June averages near 17–19°C provide context, but short-range model spreads—particularly in boundary-layer mixing and diurnal heating under partly cloudy skies—explain why 21°C or higher retains meaningful implied probability while colder bins remain low. Updated runs ahead of the 48-hour window will likely sharpen resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions