Official temperature observations from the Hong Kong Observatory established a daily maximum of exactly 25°C on May 16, driving the market’s complete consensus on that outcome. Standard surface measurements at the primary urban station, conducted under World Meteorological Organization protocols, captured peak values during afternoon hours amid stable high-pressure conditions and typical subtropical humidity levels. This reading falls within normal climatological ranges for mid-May, when historical averages hover near 27°C but daily fluctuations of 2–3°C commonly occur due to local sea-breeze effects and variable cloud cover. No forecast revisions or station anomalies emerged to support alternative thresholds, confirming the resolution criteria were met without ambiguity.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$302,787 Vol.
$302,787 Vol.
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$302,787 Vol.
$302,787 Vol.
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official temperature observations from the Hong Kong Observatory established a daily maximum of exactly 25°C on May 16, driving the market’s complete consensus on that outcome. Standard surface measurements at the primary urban station, conducted under World Meteorological Organization protocols, captured peak values during afternoon hours amid stable high-pressure conditions and typical subtropical humidity levels. This reading falls within normal climatological ranges for mid-May, when historical averages hover near 27°C but daily fluctuations of 2–3°C commonly occur due to local sea-breeze effects and variable cloud cover. No forecast revisions or station anomalies emerged to support alternative thresholds, confirming the resolution criteria were met without ambiguity.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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