Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance and ensemble model runs indicate persistent hot, dry conditions across Sindh through May 19, with near-normal to slightly above-average highs driven by strong solar heating, continental air advection, and upper-level subsidence. Coastal sea-breeze effects from the Arabian Sea and 40–70% daytime humidity introduce 1–2°C daily variability, positioning 35°C and 36°C as the closest-matched outcomes in trader consensus. Historical May climatology for Karachi centers on 34–35°C highs, providing a baseline against which current forecasts show modest upward pressure but limited extreme-heat potential before the monsoon onset. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on May 19?
Highest temperature in Karachi on May 19?
35°C 32%
36°C 27%
37°C or higher 25%
34°C 16%
NEW
NEW
May 19, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
4%
34°C
16%
35°C
32%
36°C
27%
37°C or higher
25%
35°C 32%
36°C 27%
37°C or higher 25%
34°C 16%
NEW
NEW
May 19, 2026
27°C or below
$104 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$268 Vol.
1%
29°C
$35 Vol.
1%
30°C
$25 Vol.
1%
31°C
$25 Vol.
1%
32°C
$16 Vol.
3%
33°C
$24 Vol.
4%
34°C
$0 Vol.
16%
35°C
$5 Vol.
32%
36°C
$0 Vol.
27%
37°C or higher
$14 Vol.
25%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance and ensemble model runs indicate persistent hot, dry conditions across Sindh through May 19, with near-normal to slightly above-average highs driven by strong solar heating, continental air advection, and upper-level subsidence. Coastal sea-breeze effects from the Arabian Sea and 40–70% daytime humidity introduce 1–2°C daily variability, positioning 35°C and 36°C as the closest-matched outcomes in trader consensus. Historical May climatology for Karachi centers on 34–35°C highs, providing a baseline against which current forecasts show modest upward pressure but limited extreme-heat potential before the monsoon onset. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 17, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$518End Date
May 19, 2026Market Opened
May 17, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance and ensemble model runs indicate persistent hot, dry conditions across Sindh through May 19, with near-normal to slightly above-average highs driven by strong solar heating, continental air advection, and upper-level subsidence. Coastal sea-breeze effects from the Arabian Sea and 40–70% daytime humidity introduce 1–2°C daily variability, positioning 35°C and 36°C as the closest-matched outcomes in trader consensus. Historical May climatology for Karachi centers on 34–35°C highs, providing a baseline against which current forecasts show modest upward pressure but limited extreme-heat potential before the monsoon onset. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$518End Date
May 19, 2026Market Opened
May 17, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCPakistan Meteorological Department guidance and ensemble model runs indicate persistent hot, dry conditions across Sindh through May 19, with near-normal to slightly above-average highs driven by strong solar heating, continental air advection, and upper-level subsidence. Coastal sea-breeze effects from the Arabian Sea and 40–70% daytime humidity introduce 1–2°C daily variability, positioning 35°C and 36°C as the closest-matched outcomes in trader consensus. Historical May climatology for Karachi centers on 34–35°C highs, providing a baseline against which current forecasts show modest upward pressure but limited extreme-heat potential before the monsoon onset. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions