Recent forecast guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF ensembles indicates persistent cloud cover and scattered showers across the Pearl River Delta on May 17, moderating daytime heating and anchoring the most likely high near 27°C. Elevated humidity near 80 percent combined with light southerly flow from the South China Sea further limits maximum temperatures below the mid-May climatological average of 29–30°C. These conditions create a tight distribution among the 26°C, 27°C, and 28°C outcomes, with traders weighting the balance between partial clearing that could allow brief warming versus sustained moisture that would cap readings. Official Shenzhen station data from the CMA will determine resolution once available.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shenzhen on May 17?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 17?
27°C 32%
26°C 28%
28°C 27%
29°C 7%
NEW
$12,695 Vol.
NEW
$12,695 Vol.
May 17, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
6%
26°C
28%
27°C
32%
28°C
27%
29°C
7%
30°C
3%
31°C or higher
1%
27°C 32%
26°C 28%
28°C 27%
29°C 7%
NEW
$12,695 Vol.
NEW
$12,695 Vol.
May 17, 2026
21°C or below
$761 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$783 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$2,725 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$3,637 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$859 Vol.
6%
26°C
$989 Vol.
28%
27°C
$865 Vol.
32%
28°C
$712 Vol.
27%
29°C
$750 Vol.
7%
30°C
$551 Vol.
3%
31°C or higher
$1,088 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF ensembles indicates persistent cloud cover and scattered showers across the Pearl River Delta on May 17, moderating daytime heating and anchoring the most likely high near 27°C. Elevated humidity near 80 percent combined with light southerly flow from the South China Sea further limits maximum temperatures below the mid-May climatological average of 29–30°C. These conditions create a tight distribution among the 26°C, 27°C, and 28°C outcomes, with traders weighting the balance between partial clearing that could allow brief warming versus sustained moisture that would cap readings. Official Shenzhen station data from the CMA will determine resolution once available.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$12,695End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF ensembles indicates persistent cloud cover and scattered showers across the Pearl River Delta on May 17, moderating daytime heating and anchoring the most likely high near 27°C. Elevated humidity near 80 percent combined with light southerly flow from the South China Sea further limits maximum temperatures below the mid-May climatological average of 29–30°C. These conditions create a tight distribution among the 26°C, 27°C, and 28°C outcomes, with traders weighting the balance between partial clearing that could allow brief warming versus sustained moisture that would cap readings. Official Shenzhen station data from the CMA will determine resolution once available.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$12,695End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZRecent forecast guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF ensembles indicates persistent cloud cover and scattered showers across the Pearl River Delta on May 17, moderating daytime heating and anchoring the most likely high near 27°C. Elevated humidity near 80 percent combined with light southerly flow from the South China Sea further limits maximum temperatures below the mid-May climatological average of 29–30°C. These conditions create a tight distribution among the 26°C, 27°C, and 28°C outcomes, with traders weighting the balance between partial clearing that could allow brief warming versus sustained moisture that would cap readings. Official Shenzhen station data from the CMA will determine resolution once available.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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