Trader sentiment reflects genuine short-term forecast uncertainty for Karachi’s May 17 peak, with models clustered around 35–37 °C amid pre-monsoon conditions. The city’s Arabian Sea location favors moderating sea breezes that typically limit afternoon highs, yet recent clear skies and elevated solar insolation have allowed heat buildup above the May climatological mean of 34–35 °C. Regional models diverge on exact boundary-layer moisture and wind direction, producing a spread that assigns 37 % to 37 °C or higher and 32 % to 36 °C. Any late-day convective clouds or stronger onshore flow could shave 1–2 °C from the maximum, while drier subsidence would favor the upper end of the distribution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on May 17?
Highest temperature in Karachi on May 17?
37°C or higher 38%
36°C 32%
35°C 22%
34°C 6.9%
NEW
$12,761 Vol.
NEW
$12,761 Vol.
May 17, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
3%
34°C
7%
35°C
22%
36°C
32%
37°C or higher
41%
37°C or higher 38%
36°C 32%
35°C 22%
34°C 6.9%
NEW
$12,761 Vol.
NEW
$12,761 Vol.
May 17, 2026
27°C or below
$1,187 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$3,691 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$3,586 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$949 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$531 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$633 Vol.
1%
33°C
$1,048 Vol.
3%
34°C
$609 Vol.
7%
35°C
$182 Vol.
22%
36°C
$169 Vol.
32%
37°C or higher
$176 Vol.
41%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment reflects genuine short-term forecast uncertainty for Karachi’s May 17 peak, with models clustered around 35–37 °C amid pre-monsoon conditions. The city’s Arabian Sea location favors moderating sea breezes that typically limit afternoon highs, yet recent clear skies and elevated solar insolation have allowed heat buildup above the May climatological mean of 34–35 °C. Regional models diverge on exact boundary-layer moisture and wind direction, producing a spread that assigns 37 % to 37 °C or higher and 32 % to 36 °C. Any late-day convective clouds or stronger onshore flow could shave 1–2 °C from the maximum, while drier subsidence would favor the upper end of the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$12,761End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment reflects genuine short-term forecast uncertainty for Karachi’s May 17 peak, with models clustered around 35–37 °C amid pre-monsoon conditions. The city’s Arabian Sea location favors moderating sea breezes that typically limit afternoon highs, yet recent clear skies and elevated solar insolation have allowed heat buildup above the May climatological mean of 34–35 °C. Regional models diverge on exact boundary-layer moisture and wind direction, producing a spread that assigns 37 % to 37 °C or higher and 32 % to 36 °C. Any late-day convective clouds or stronger onshore flow could shave 1–2 °C from the maximum, while drier subsidence would favor the upper end of the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$12,761End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCTrader sentiment reflects genuine short-term forecast uncertainty for Karachi’s May 17 peak, with models clustered around 35–37 °C amid pre-monsoon conditions. The city’s Arabian Sea location favors moderating sea breezes that typically limit afternoon highs, yet recent clear skies and elevated solar insolation have allowed heat buildup above the May climatological mean of 34–35 °C. Regional models diverge on exact boundary-layer moisture and wind direction, producing a spread that assigns 37 % to 37 °C or higher and 32 % to 36 °C. Any late-day convective clouds or stronger onshore flow could shave 1–2 °C from the maximum, while drier subsidence would favor the upper end of the distribution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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