BMKG's latest forecast for May 16 in Jakarta projects daytime highs of 29–30°C amid partly cloudy skies and 70–95% precipitation chances from light rain, clashing with NOAA and AccuWeather models implying 32–34°C under partial clearing, fueling the razor-thin trader consensus between 33°C (29.5% implied probability) and 32°C (27.5%). This divergence stems from uncertain cloud cover evolution during the wet-to-dry season transition, amplified by Jakarta's urban heat island effect and emerging El Niño signals—82% NOAA odds for development by late May—which historically boost Indonesian highs by suppressing rain. Mid-May climatology averages 32–33°C, with low wind shear allowing sea breeze moderation; watch BMKG's hourly updates and model refreshes Friday for shifts ahead of resolution via official station data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jakarta on May 16?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on May 16?
33°C 30%
32°C 30%
31°C 15%
34°C 11%
NEW
NEW
May 16, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
6%
31°C
15%
32°C
30%
33°C
30%
34°C
11%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
1%
33°C 30%
32°C 30%
31°C 15%
34°C 11%
NEW
NEW
May 16, 2026
26°C or below
$576 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,076 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$169 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$273 Vol.
1%
30°C
$338 Vol.
6%
31°C
$2,637 Vol.
15%
32°C
$1,043 Vol.
30%
33°C
$721 Vol.
30%
34°C
$1,073 Vol.
11%
35°C
$204 Vol.
1%
36°C or higher
$309 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.BMKG's latest forecast for May 16 in Jakarta projects daytime highs of 29–30°C amid partly cloudy skies and 70–95% precipitation chances from light rain, clashing with NOAA and AccuWeather models implying 32–34°C under partial clearing, fueling the razor-thin trader consensus between 33°C (29.5% implied probability) and 32°C (27.5%). This divergence stems from uncertain cloud cover evolution during the wet-to-dry season transition, amplified by Jakarta's urban heat island effect and emerging El Niño signals—82% NOAA odds for development by late May—which historically boost Indonesian highs by suppressing rain. Mid-May climatology averages 32–33°C, with low wind shear allowing sea breeze moderation; watch BMKG's hourly updates and model refreshes Friday for shifts ahead of resolution via official station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 14, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Volume
$8,417End Date
May 16, 2026Market Opened
May 14, 2026, 12:21 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.BMKG's latest forecast for May 16 in Jakarta projects daytime highs of 29–30°C amid partly cloudy skies and 70–95% precipitation chances from light rain, clashing with NOAA and AccuWeather models implying 32–34°C under partial clearing, fueling the razor-thin trader consensus between 33°C (29.5% implied probability) and 32°C (27.5%). This divergence stems from uncertain cloud cover evolution during the wet-to-dry season transition, amplified by Jakarta's urban heat island effect and emerging El Niño signals—82% NOAA odds for development by late May—which historically boost Indonesian highs by suppressing rain. Mid-May climatology averages 32–33°C, with low wind shear allowing sea breeze moderation; watch BMKG's hourly updates and model refreshes Friday for shifts ahead of resolution via official station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$8,417End Date
May 16, 2026Market Opened
May 14, 2026, 12:21 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...BMKG's latest forecast for May 16 in Jakarta projects daytime highs of 29–30°C amid partly cloudy skies and 70–95% precipitation chances from light rain, clashing with NOAA and AccuWeather models implying 32–34°C under partial clearing, fueling the razor-thin trader consensus between 33°C (29.5% implied probability) and 32°C (27.5%). This divergence stems from uncertain cloud cover evolution during the wet-to-dry season transition, amplified by Jakarta's urban heat island effect and emerging El Niño signals—82% NOAA odds for development by late May—which historically boost Indonesian highs by suppressing rain. Mid-May climatology averages 32–33°C, with low wind shear allowing sea breeze moderation; watch BMKG's hourly updates and model refreshes Friday for shifts ahead of resolution via official station data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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