Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration project Wuhan's highest temperature on May 16 at 29°C under persistent cloudy skies and light winds, with relative humidity near 80% limiting solar insolation and suppressing peaks, driving trader consensus toward 30°C (37% implied probability) and 29°C (29.5%) as frontrunners. Recent actuals—26°C on May 13, 28°C on May 14—reflect moderated highs from earlier 31°C spikes amid similar overcast conditions, while mid-May climatology averages 27–28°C with diurnal ranges of 6–9°C. Differentiation hinges on potential afternoon cloud breaks boosting 30°C odds or sustained cover favoring 29°C; new model runs and station observations (Hankou/Wuhan) expected overnight could refine this tight race before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on May 16?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 16?
30°C 40%
29°C 30%
31°C 16%
32°C 12%
NEW
$13,936 Vol.
NEW
$13,936 Vol.
May 16, 2026
26°C or below
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
4%
29°C
30%
30°C
40%
31°C
16%
32°C
12%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
30°C 40%
29°C 30%
31°C 16%
32°C 12%
NEW
$13,936 Vol.
NEW
$13,936 Vol.
May 16, 2026
26°C or below
$2,477 Vol.
1%
27°C
$2,397 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,560 Vol.
4%
29°C
$817 Vol.
30%
30°C
$1,044 Vol.
40%
31°C
$935 Vol.
16%
32°C
$1,047 Vol.
12%
33°C
$1,083 Vol.
2%
34°C
$868 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$731 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$977 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration project Wuhan's highest temperature on May 16 at 29°C under persistent cloudy skies and light winds, with relative humidity near 80% limiting solar insolation and suppressing peaks, driving trader consensus toward 30°C (37% implied probability) and 29°C (29.5%) as frontrunners. Recent actuals—26°C on May 13, 28°C on May 14—reflect moderated highs from earlier 31°C spikes amid similar overcast conditions, while mid-May climatology averages 27–28°C with diurnal ranges of 6–9°C. Differentiation hinges on potential afternoon cloud breaks boosting 30°C odds or sustained cover favoring 29°C; new model runs and station observations (Hankou/Wuhan) expected overnight could refine this tight race before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 14, 2026, 12:48 AM ET
Volume
$13,936End Date
May 16, 2026Market Opened
May 14, 2026, 12:48 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration project Wuhan's highest temperature on May 16 at 29°C under persistent cloudy skies and light winds, with relative humidity near 80% limiting solar insolation and suppressing peaks, driving trader consensus toward 30°C (37% implied probability) and 29°C (29.5%) as frontrunners. Recent actuals—26°C on May 13, 28°C on May 14—reflect moderated highs from earlier 31°C spikes amid similar overcast conditions, while mid-May climatology averages 27–28°C with diurnal ranges of 6–9°C. Differentiation hinges on potential afternoon cloud breaks boosting 30°C odds or sustained cover favoring 29°C; new model runs and station observations (Hankou/Wuhan) expected overnight could refine this tight race before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$13,936End Date
May 16, 2026Market Opened
May 14, 2026, 12:48 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration project Wuhan's highest temperature on May 16 at 29°C under persistent cloudy skies and light winds, with relative humidity near 80% limiting solar insolation and suppressing peaks, driving trader consensus toward 30°C (37% implied probability) and 29°C (29.5%) as frontrunners. Recent actuals—26°C on May 13, 28°C on May 14—reflect moderated highs from earlier 31°C spikes amid similar overcast conditions, while mid-May climatology averages 27–28°C with diurnal ranges of 6–9°C. Differentiation hinges on potential afternoon cloud breaks boosting 30°C odds or sustained cover favoring 29°C; new model runs and station observations (Hankou/Wuhan) expected overnight could refine this tight race before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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